Thursday, July 10, 2008

What Would The Israeli Strike Look Like?

This is a very interesting Poplular Mechanics article on what would go down if Israel bombed Iranian Nuclear sites. I think this is the part that is why the Israelis might be push up the air strike time table.

Ben-Ari and Long agree that Israel could very likely dismantle the Iranian nuclear program from the air. What comes after that—diplomatically, financially and strategically—remains open to debate. But the quality of Iran's antiaircraft equipment may drive the debate as much as the pace of any uranium enrichment project. Russia has indicated it is willing to sell its most sophisticated missile system, the S-300P (NATO designation), to Iran. If Israeli military planners see a future threat looming that they cannot counter, a near-term strike might look more attractive.

If the Iranians get the S-300P then any Israeli air strike might end up a dismal failure. So they might have to strike now while their enemy is still weak and not wait until later. I pointed out earlier that an Obama administration might hang them out to dry so this pushes up the timetable even further.

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