Monday, December 06, 2010

Wikileaks Shows Red Chinse Positioning in the Great Game

I really thought Red China was further ahead of the Great Game curve but judging from this article it might not be the case.

The leaked memos, known as cables in diplomatic jargon, portray Chinese leaders as increasingly willing to leverage their nation's economic clout to pursue China's interests while challenging the global order without necessarily proposing workable alternatives.

"Muscle-flexing, triumphalism, and assertiveness" underpins Chinese foreign policy, according to one cable from this February, entitled: "Stomp around and carry a small stick: China's new 'global assertiveness' raises hackles, but has more form than substance."

In the cable, signed by U.S. Ambassador to Beijing Jon Huntsman, China's posture is described as "losing friends worldwide," despite Beijing's attempts to build its influence through cultural and economic undertakings — so-called "soft power" tactics seeking to deflect concerns about a rising Chinese threat.

One nation that it might have lost permanently may be India.

An ambassador from India, with whom China has lingering territorial disputes, is cited as wanting closer cooperation with Washington as a protection against Chinese ambitions. Diplomats from China's historical rival and key U.S. ally Japan, meanwhile, are quoted as complaining that Chinese officials were "aggressive and difficult" during summit preparations.

In other words they are driving India into the US Sphere of Influence due to their broadening ambitions. India is one nation that really doesn't need as much from China as many others. They have fought a hot war in 1962 over border disputes so there is no love lost between the two countries. An India/US axis would be a boon to us both in terms of trade (nations full of billions of literate, well trained people don't come around every day) and militarily as well.

Now the Great Game inclination would be for China to start meddling in Pakistan. I mean it weakens India and the US at the same time. Also shaping the direction of Pakistan makes it so there isn't a nuclear powered terrorist threat on the Chinese border as well. Or if there was a terrorist threat you can point it toward your enemies in the US and India. One interesting development would be a China backed peace plan when it comes to Kashmir.  We would see China advancing Pakistani interests while the US backs Indian interests.

 It is also  interesting to see the extent of the anti-Chinese bloc though:

China's foreign policy hawks and U.S.-skeptics in particular are likely to find plenty in the leaked documents supporting their contention that Washington and others in the West are seeking to thwart China's rise through a campaign of bullying. In one memo from last year, then-Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd urged U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to assiduously work to integrate China into the international community "while also preparing to deploy force if everything goes wrong."

It seems that the rise of Red China might be on the mind of more world leaders than just the Americans.

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