Wednesday, September 03, 2008

"Its Over" States Noonan

It seems that more then one Republican insider are not good with the Palin pick for McCain VP.  

Todd: Is she really the most qualified woman?

Noonan: The most qualified no. I think they went for this excuse me political bullshit about narratives..

Todd: Yeah, they went to narratives.

Noonan: Everytime Republicans do that, because that's not where they live and it's not what they're good at, they blow it.

I think the idea of a narrative is a good one but it seems that Noonan doesn't like it.  Palin solidifies the base and provides a fresh face that could appeal to non-GOPers and Independents. She looks like a solid, salt-of-the-earth, guns, family, and anti-abortion hockey mom that voted 2 times for Bush.  

A guy like Romney is just another millionaire country-club Republican that can't relate to the swing voters. Even though Bush should have fit the same mold being a Yale Skull and Bonesman, a frat boy, CEO etc. he was still portrayed as a "cutting brush at the ranch" sort of guy.

I think Palin's speech and her debate against Biden is going to make or break her.  If she looks like a deer in the headlights or looks like a neophyte she is dead.  If she is scrappy and knows her stuff then I think Noonan will be proved wrong.  

Narratives are powerful as long as you tailor them to the person.  A frat boy, screw-off that was losing the peace in Iraq won a second term because he was portrayed as a stubborn guy that will "go get Al-Quida where ever they were hidin'."  

The other guy was an effete, windsurfer living off his wifes money, that was "against it before he was for it."  A flip-flopper that didn't respond fast enough to attacks on his war record.  I mean almost anyone could have beat Bush for his second term with things going so bad but the narrative worked against Kerry.  

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