Wednesday, July 25, 2012

It Seems BB&T is a Big GOP Money Spinner

While researching regional banks I came across some interesting information regarding BB&T.

The Times picked up the gauntlet this week, quoting the BB&T CEO Kelly King — a board member of the Financial Services Roundtable:
“If the president doesn’t become a little more balanced and centrist in his approach, then he will likely lose that support [of financial companies].”
Interestingly, according to campaign finance records, King has donated exclusively to Republican candidates, and BB&T’s PAC has historically weighted its contributions in favor of Republican candidates regardless of the party in control. It sounds like a guy who doesn’t even donate to Democrats is trying to shake them down for concessions on financial market reforms based on their desire for campaign contributions — and reporters are lapping it up.

You figure all big bankers would be pouting money into the GOP after Obama stabbed them in the back and started blaming them for nearly all of the nations ills. The "fat cat banker" meme has been the attack of choice by the White House for years. Only now do they understand that a "fat car banker" like CEO King provides the capital for the economy to run. If BB&T didn't crank out the loans to small businesses there would be almost no sustainable hiring in America.

Creator of the Financial Supermarket Calls for Banks to Be Broken Up: Good Idea!

I have to admit that Sandy Weill has a point when he says this:

“What we should probably do is go and split up investment banking from banking, have banks be deposit takers, have banks make commercial loans and real estate loans, have banks do something that’s not going to risk the taxpayer dollars, that’s not too big to fail,” Weill told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”

He added: “If they want to hedge what they’re doing with their investments, let them do it in a way that’s going to be mark-to-market so they’re never going to be hit.”  

It might be a good idea to require large banks to spinoff their investment banking arms so that one side doesn't hurt the other when there is a crisis. So you have to solid, staid bank with its deposits and loans that pays a generous dividend. Then you have the go-go high risk, high reward of the investment bank that underwrites debt and trades commodities and such.

I think this would unlock quite a bit of value and go a long way to creating confidence that my money won't be used to bail out a bunch of huge banks. Right now I would only invest in regional banks because you can see they take in deposits and loan out the money for a certain rate of return. They pay a decent dividend and you won't have to worry about a Spanish bankruptcy damaging their balance sheet or even cause them to fail if you are long them. You can also read their 10Q without getting a headache or wondering what sort of assets aren't included in these figures.



Zynga Gets Hammered: Misses Pretty Badly

Well it seems that Farmville and Words with Friends is just not paying the bills anymore.

But what really dragged on Zynga's stock is the fact that the company lowered its outlook for 2012, saying it now expects bookings in the range of $1.15 billion to $1.225 billion, far short of the up to $1.5 billion Wall Street expected. 

Now the company’s projecting non-GAAP EPS for the year in the range of 4 to 9 cents, just a fraction the 26 cents that’s Wall Street’s consensus.  

This is guiding quite a bit lower to say the least. I wonder if this bodes ill for Facebooks earnings tomorrow? I just thinking the give the game away for free and use ads model might not be a good recipe for growth unless there are compelling things to spend money on.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Apple Takes it in the Face: I think Everyone is Waiting for iPhone 5

I have to agree with Apple CFO Peter Oppenheimer.

Some consumers are believed to be holding off on purchases on the device ahead of the expected launch of the iPhone 5 this fall. Apple has never confirmed any plans or timing for a new iPhone device, though Oppenheimer said elsewhere on the call that a "fall transition" was also a big factor in the company's lower gross-margin forecast for the September period.

There seems to be no real reason to buy a Siri iPhone when the iPhone 5 should hopefully kick so much ass. Also the Apple TV is coming out pretty soon and will hopefully be great as well. I might go long Apple again if it drops a little more. This might be a good time to buy the stock at a discount.

Obama Still Leads Romney: I Think it is Because Mitt is Unlikable

Well it seems that Obama is still ahead of Romney 49 to 43.

Yet the countervailing weight holding down Romney is how voters perceive him personally. Some 35 percent of voters view the former Massachusetts governor favorably, while 40 percent view him unfavorably. That makes him the first presidential candidate viewed unfavorably by a plurality of voters in advance of his summer nominating convention since Bill Clinton in 1992.

Some of this is from him not submitting his tax returns. The idea of a rich dude hiding a bunch of money in a Cayman Island bank account is something Americans can stomach while they might be looking at a second recession. I mean most rich guys and celebs do all sorts of tricks to avoid taxes but Romney still should release those records. It would show that he has nothing to hide.

When I was first looking at Romney I figured that him being a rich plutocrat will hurt him in the long run. That is why I supported Herman Cain and Mike Huckabee because they could probably release 10 years of tax returns in an instant. Then you will have all these tax pros laughing at how they didn't take advantage of this loophole or that loophole to avoid paying taxes.

The whole idea of people gaming the tax system to pay less taxes is a joke. That is why comprehensive tax reform where they get rid of a ton of deductions and credits and things should be done soon. Simply everything, make sure everyone pays something, and cut rates across the board and Americans should rejoice. I still like Reagans tax idea. Three lines: What you made, percentage of what you made, what you pay. Write a check for the amount in line 3.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

An Idea for Penn State: Donate the Profits of the 2012 Season to Child Sex Abuse Victims

I think this would be a great way to heal what has happened at Penn State.

In the coming days, this is the statement I'd like to hear from school president Rodney Erickson: "We're playing football in 2012, but we're not playing for glory or money. Every dime of profit over expense will go to victims of child sexual abuse in the State College area. Every Penn State helmet will bear the child sexual abuse blue ribbon symbol. Every home game will have a moment of silence before kickoff in recognition and support of those who have suffered from our school's failure. If we earn a bowl bid, every member of the travel party – including administrators and coaches – will spend an eight-hour day at the bowl site interacting with abuse victims. 

Nick Saban has a similar idea as well.


''Maybe they ought to tax all the tickets that they sell on athletics and give the proceeds to some child abuse organization. Or something like that, rather than worrying about some punishment that is really going to have no positive affect on anything.''

The Alabama coach didn't go into details of how a tax would be implemented. He stressed his comments had to do more with philosophy than a real recommendation.

I think that would be a fairly positive outcome. Maybe permanently implement this tax as a way of giving back to the victims.

Monday, July 16, 2012

Democrats Willing to Plunge the US into Recession to Get back At the Rich

This is just the kind of small-minded approach that will damage our economy.

Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) on Monday announced that Democrats are willing to allow a slew of tax cuts and spending provisions to expire if Republicans refuse to raise taxes on the wealthy, potentially inching the country off a "fiscal cliff."

"If we can't get a good deal, a balanced deal, that calls on the wealthy to pay their fair share, then I will absolutely continue this debate into 2013, rather than lock in a long-term deal this year that throws middle-class families under the bus," Murray, a budget committee member and former co-chair of the debt supercommittee, said at a Brookings Institution discussion of the "fiscal cliff."

In other words if they don't get their pound of flesh out of the wealthy they are going to make every American suffer. Of course the wealthy will not be impacted as much as the middle class because any downturn means huge layoffs just when the economy is trying to recover. What they need to do is comprehensive tax reform and then work on the "fiscal cliff" after that. 

Friday, July 13, 2012

Condoleezza Rice at VeeP? Romney Will Win the Election in a Landslide

Condi would be a VP pick that would win him the election outright and he needs to seriously consider it.

The Drudge Report ran a blaring headline late Thursday night reporting that sources within Mitt Romney's presidential campaign say Condoleezza Rice, who served as secretary of state and national security adviser under President George W. Bush, is a "front-runner" for the running mate slot.

She has demurred at VP as early as last month but maybe they can convince her to run. Hell, a VP slot could make her President in 8 years if she chooses that route. She doesn't seem like a person that wants that office but she could certainly do the job if she wanted.

She is the multilingual and an actual intellectual unlike Obama who is a fake intellectual. She is one of the few Americans that can stare down Putin and speak to him in perfect Russian. She is an exciting figure for conservatives and would obliterate Biden in any debate. It would be like a grown woman and an 8 year old boy debating one another.

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Obama's Biggest Mistake was "Not Telling a Good Enough Story?"

I would go with not knowing jack about creating a job or how businesses work and then not getting someone in there that can educate him. Instead he just said this mess:

"When I think about what we've done well and what we haven't done well," the president told CBS television in an interview, "the mistake of my first term - couple of years - was thinking that this job was just about getting the policy right."

"And that's important. But the nature of this office is also to tell a story to the American people that gives them a sense of unity and purpose and optimism, especially during tough times," Obama said in an excerpt of the exchange with Charlie Rose.

No you don't "tell them a story" which implies that you are telling them a fairy tale. Instead you simply instill in them a sense of unity and purpose and optimism through deeds and not style. You do this through something other than class warfare and setting fire to a trillion dollars of their money. Also blaming the guy that was there before you even after being in power for an entire term is also such a waste of time. 

Thursday, June 28, 2012

Facebook Kills off "Stalker" App After One Hour

I'm not quite sure if you can call this a "stalker" app since you would probably unfriend anyone that would actively stalk you. I guess this is similar to an old phone app for Nokia I think that allowed you to track your friends in real time.

A few days ago Facebook rolled out a little feature called 'Friends Nearby' that was, well, potentially a stalker's dream come true.

That might be why the social network decided to nix the feature just a few hours after its 'release.'

'Friends Nearby' allowed users to activate a feature on their Facebook app that would use your phone's GPS to determine your location and bring up people around your location. However, once the user exited the 'Friends Nearby' page, the location finder would turn off.

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Turks turn on Syria; dubs them "Clear Threat"

I guess Turkey has chosen a side and it seems it is against the Assad regime.

Turkey branded its former ally Syria "a clear and imminent threat," on Tuesday as its Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan vented his fury over the downing of a Turkish fighter jet. 

In his most outspoken criticism of the Damascus regime, Erdogan vowed to retaliate against the "heinous act" and promised a change of military attitude to any Syrian officer approaching the common border.

I'm pretty sure this doesn't mean that 100s of Turkish tanks are massing at the Syrian border but Syria is running out of friends fast. It I was playing Turkey in the Grand Game I would get NATO involved and treat the shooting down of an un-armed F4 Phantom as an act of war and amass troops accordingly. 

Any other provocative acts and you start taking out their air defenses with the help of the US and NATO. Then you start to arm the rebels with heavy tanks and anti-tank missiles and wait for Assad to run for it. As always a democratic neighbor is the most peaceful and profitable in the long run.

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Not Having Insurance Can Kill You!

Well it seems that deaths from lack of insurance are rising for whatever reason.

More than 26,000 working-age adults die prematurely in the United States each year because they lack health insurance, according to a study published ahead of a landmark U.S. Supreme Court ruling on President Barack Obama's healthcare reform law. 

The study, released on Wednesday by the consumer advocacy group Families USA, estimates that a record high of 26,100 people aged 25 to 64 died for lack of health coverage in 2010, up from 20,350 in 2005 and 18,000 in 2000. 

The total amount of uninsured is 50 million. So that is a .00052% chance of dying of this "no insurance illness" that Families USA talks about. That is about the same number who die of falling per year. So why doesn't the government just pony up the $3000 or so it will take to insure some of these people dying of lack of insurance? That would be about $78 million which would be a rounding error compared to the billions that are going to be wasted just for the IRS to collect fines from people that refuse to buy insurance.

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Microsoft's Surface Tablet Looks Like Crap and is 2 Years Late to the Party

I just don't understand why they keep Ballmer around anyway. Again Microsoft is years late and are putting out a product that seems like an also-ran.

Microsoft usually begs for attention. On this day, it played the cool maestro. In fact, the company played the Apple (AAPL) role, using pomp, circumstance, and constructed anticipation to make us believe that something really fantastic would appear. Perhaps the whole thing worked: Something that did seem rather fantastic arrived at about 4:20 p.m. It was the Surface tablet—a computer that had all its software and hardware made by Microsoft. In that moment, Microsoft became not just a competitor to Apple but also a rival to such longtime PC manufacturing partners as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Dell (DELL), and Acer (2353:TT).

I'm sorry the Surface tablet is not "fantastic" at least by my estimation. It pretty much looks like a slightly bigger IPad with a keyboard etched into its cover sleeve. It also seems to cost a few hundred more than the IPad.

Suggested retail pricing will be announced closer to availability and is expected to be competitive with a comparable ARM tablet or Intel Ultrabook-class PC. OEMs will have cost and feature parity on Windows 8 and Windows RT.

So an Ultrabook-class PC costs about $800 to $1000 which is pretty damn steep when compared to the  $500 to $700 that an IPad costs. So you are pretty much paying $300 for a keyboard and Windows 8? Sounds about par for the course for Microsoft. Late to the party, too expensive, and it is pretty much a "me too" product. I suspect that the Surface will be thrown right on top of all the Zunes that are taking up space on store shelves.

I'm sorry it just looks kind of like a kids toy and not something that you would use for actual work. I just can't picture it as an "IPad Killer" no matter how I slice it. Maybe Microsoft should make that keyboard attachment compatible with the IPad. That way they can make some money before this thing goes the way of the Kin.


Asians Beat out Hispanics as Fastest Growing Immigrant Group

It seems that the rise of the Asians in America is going to change the electorate in quite a few ways.

The study, called "The Rise of Asian Americans" and released on Tuesday, reveals that Asian-Americans also have the highest income, are the best educated and are the fastest-growing racial group in America.

About 430,000 Asians—or 36 percent of all new immigrants—arrived in the United States in 2010, according to U.S. census data. About 370,000, or 31 percent, were Hispanic.

The same old identity politics will probably not work on this group as well as the Democrats would like. The issue of immigration is a non-starter with this group because many of them are not illegal. You can't hit them with the "rich aren't paying their fair share" crap that Obama keeps peddling because they would be the ones having their taxes hiked. Hmm it might be time for the GOP to put this group firmly inside of the party because they are a natural fit.

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Spanish Banks Charged an Incredible 8.5% on their Bailout Loans

Wow that is almost double what someone will be paying for a 30 year fixed mortgage.

Spanish banks which receive public loans in the form of convertible shares as part of an up to 100 billion euros financial package will be charged an interest rate of at least 8.5 percent, a European Commission spokesman said on Tuesday.

Spain's Economy Minister Luis de Guindos said on Saturday that the Spanish bank restructuring fund (FROB) would inject the European loans into banks though convertible shares, also known as Cocos, or through equity.

I would hate to see what these Spanish banks would have to charge in loans in order to pay off this interest? Hell I wouldn't buy a car if I was charged an 8.5% rate. That is what you are charged if you have poor/no credit.

You would figure the EU would charge a lower rate than Spanish government debt so the banks can do some carry trades with the money. So the EU would charge like 4.5% and the banks then buy Spanish Government Bonds that pay 6.7%. They then pocket the difference in order to strengthen their earnings and prop up the Spanish Debt market. 

Oh well, I guess the EU technocrats in Berlin know what they are doing and I guess they would rather not throw any more good money after bad. It just smacks of ripping off these Spanish banks.

Friday, June 08, 2012

Obama Thinks Private Sector is "Doing Fine"

Wow talk about out of touch.

Mitt Romney and his GOP allies pounced on President Barack Obama's declaration Friday that the private sector is "doing fine," suggesting the president's comments are more proof that he's "out of touch" with the country's economic struggles.

Obama was making a point that more money should be funneled toward fire fighters and teachers and such but it still smacks of not knowing anything about creating jobs outside of the state house. In other words the private sector (which creates the vast majority of jobs) is okay so why should they get tax breaks or stimulus or anything of the sort. Maybe that is true in Obama-world where the government creates all the jobs and chooses the winners and losers.

Bobby Jindal said it best:

"The private sector is so foreign to him, he might need a passport to go visit the private sector," Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said in his speech. "He might need a translator."

Yeah, the public sector to Obama is Solyndra which is government money wasted on a company that creates a product that is just not cost competitive as the ones made by the Red Chinese. Sounds about right for a President that hasn't created a job that cost less than $1 million each.

Thursday, June 07, 2012

Romney Calls Obama's Economic Failure a "Moral Failure"

Hmm this is an interesting way to attack Obama's failure to stimulate the economy.

Mitt Romney called President Barack Obama's handling of the economy a "moral failure of tragic proportions," suggesting he's failed the American people by enacting policies that have been "muddled, confused and simply ineffective."

He didn't mention all the White House finger pointing at nearly everyone except for themselves. Yes Obama "inherited a bad economy" but he had 3 years to fix the problem and they seem to be getting worse. Unemployment is still stuck at 8.2% with double that number underemployed.

Recent college grads have a 53% unemployment/underemployment rate. How was all that Hope N' Change that they voted for in the last election working out for them? They have entered the worst job market in recent memory. I hear that it is even hard for people fresh out of law school to find work.

Yet Obama blames bankers and Congress and a whole host of other people instead of just shouldering the blame for the bad economy. Then he needs to get the Department of Labor and Commerce to figure ways to create jobs without spending more government money.

I mean giving more money to the states so they don't have to furlough people is not actually creating any jobs. Also payroll tax cuts are nice but it still doesn't do much for most long-term unemployed. Some of the stuff seems like a good idea but the majority is just tax the rich and throw money down a hole.

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

All Sorts of Different Views of the Transit of Venus

Now this is one information packed source on the different views on yesterdays transit of Venus. I wonder if in 2117 we will have some sort of satellites or something orbiting Venus. Maybe looking back on the earth from the other way?

Launched on Feb. 11, 2010, the Solar Dynamics Observatory, or SDO, is the most advanced spacecraft ever designed to study the sun. During its five-year mission, it will examine the sun's atmosphere, magnetic field and also provide a better understanding of the role the sun plays in Earth's atmospheric chemistry and climate. SDO provides images with resolution 8 times better than high-definition television and returns more than a terabyte of data each day.

On June 5 2012, SDO collected images of the rarest predictable solar event--the transit of Venus across the face of the sun. This event lasted approximately 6 hours and happens in pairs eight years apart, which are separated from each other by 105 or 121 years. The last transit was in 2004 and the next will not 
happen until 2117.

The videos and images displayed here are constructed from several wavelengths of extreme ultraviolet light and a portion of the visible spectrum. The red colored sun is the 304 angstrom ultraviolet, the golden colored sun is 171 angstrom, the magenta sun is 1700 angstrom, and the orange sun is filtered visible light. 304 and 171 show the atmosphere of the sun, which does not appear in the visible part of the spectrum.

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

Some Live Shots of the Transit of Venus

Well, if you don't want to stare directly into the sun then these sites will have to do.

With millions of expected viewers around the world, the Transit of Venus is today’s event to watch. The rare celestial show — the last to occur for more than a hundred years — will be starting just after 3 p.m. PDT. You can join one of the many of the Venus-watching parties across the country or make a simple and safe viewer to see the event from your own backyard.

But if the weather isn’t cooperating or nightfall has come too fast, you can check out some of the many options for watching the transit online. Here we are hosting the best live feeds of this historical event.

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Research in Motions Savior: Android Blackberry!

I was reading this article on how RIM is pretty much stuck in 1997 when it was a huge deal.

Of course, RIM’s shortcomings were old news by that point. From June 2008 to June 2011, RIM Shareholders lost almost $70 billion, or 82 percent, as the company’s market capitalization dropped from $83 billion to $13.6 billion. The decline forced the company in July 2011 to cut 2,000 jobs, the biggest lay-off in its history, reducing the workforce by around 11 percent.

That is pretty sobering and there might be more pain to come. However an idea that I just thought about is Blackberry needs to abandon its OS altogether and bet the house on a Blackberry that works with the Android OS.

When I got my first Blackberry I mostly got it because it had a full keyboard and not some digital keyboard which are normally hard for me to type on. I then bought a Samsung smartphone that had a full keyboard that you can access by pushing up the screen part. The main reason I went from Blackberry to Samsung is that Blackberry Apps suck and their web browser was a joke. I will probably never buy another Blackberry that runs on a Blackberry OS. However I would probably buy a Blackberry that ran on Android and perhaps there are others out there like me.

So RIMs plan should be in two parts. First their email software can be sold as an Android app for use on non-Blackberry phones. Secondly on Blackberry phones they can have very close integration for email but have access to the Android Play store. So a Blackberry can still be used for work because you will have your corporate email and your micro-strategy app that runs on Android at the same time. This company would not have to worry about either developing their own piece of software just so people can keep their Blackberries.

What they save on programmers and development for a hypothetical Blackberry 11 phone O/S they can instead to make the Android Blackberry stand out from the Samsung and LG phones on the market. I can see corporate customers who have Blackberry servers in place wanting an updated email service that runs either on their IPhones or Android Phones or on a Blackberry dedicated phone. If that isn't currently possible in the code then they need to rewrite it instead of forging on with Blackberry 11.

In other words concentrate all of their programmers and developers toward making the Blackberry email app the best and most secure email app in the App Store/Android Play Store so that it becomes ubiquitous. Then the phone OS will be Googles problem and not RIMs. In this situation licensing costs will go up but other costs and user flight will go down. I think an Android Blackberry might be RIMs last gasp before they need to sell themselves off to Microsoft or something.

Obama Blows it Again: Polish Deathcamps?

Ugh, does he actually proof-read his speeches or does he just not have anyone checking things out before he pops off about them?

During an East Room ceremony honoring 13 Medal of Freedom recipients, Obama said that Karski "served as a courier for the Polish resistance during the darkest days of World War II. Before one trip across enemy lines, resistance fighters told him that Jews were being murdered on a massive scale and smuggled him into the Warsaw Ghetto and a Polish death camp to see for himself. Jan took that information to President Franklin Roosevelt, giving one of the first accounts of the Holocaust and imploring to the world to take action."

The correct statement should have been a Nazi death camp in occupied Poland or simply used the actual account of what Karski did. Maybe by using his secret trip to Izbica which was a transit ghetto that shunted Jews to the Nazi death camps of Sobibor and Belzec Obama could have had a bit of a teach-able moment.

Instead he just shows that he isn't sophisticated enough to know that calling something a "Polish death camp" sounds like the Poles set the place up or something. They have a right to be outraged at such a thing and its good that the White House quickly apologized. In any case either Obama or his handlers need to double check things like this because they might not mean much to people in the US but it is a big deal to Poland.

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

The Facebook Phone? Sounds Like a Dud in the Making

These guys seem to be grasping as straws trying to make something work.

Reports that Facebook aims to enter the smartphone field took off with a New York Times blog post Sundaythat cited unnamed company employees and software engineers Facebook has sought to hire. The post said Facebook "hopes to release its own phone by next year."

Facebook declined to comment.

I really hope they don't intend to get into the hardware business where they will be torn apart by Apple, Samsung, LG, etc. who have decades making hardware and have the channels and product development that Facebook couldn't hope to match. Or do they hope to directly compete against the IPhone OS and Android in the Phone OS market because they own 80% of the market share?

Both of those ideas sound like something Microsoft would do and simply amounts to chasing after giants for pennies. The other smart phone companies are so far ahead that it will take a nearly perfect product to wrench any market share out of them. This perfect product would have to come out of a company that has never done hardware before and has no experience writing a phone OS.

However, if it is some branded phone like the Samsung Facebook Galaxy or something then maybe they would have some sort of chance. I'm just not sure what this hypothetical phone can do that the Android Key Lime Pie or the IPhone 5 could not do better and more elegantly.

What will the selling point of this Facebook phone be? I hope it isn't just something like being able to automatically update your Facebook location using GPS or some other nonsense. If that is the case they should just give back whatever money they will waste on this phone to shareholders in the form of a special dividend or a stock buyback. The Facebook phone just sounds like such a Microsoft idea it isn't even funny.

Blackberry Continues to Circle the Drain

Well it looks like they are cruising for a loss in the upcoming quarter.

Beyond saying the company would report a loss, CEO Thorsten Heins did not provide specific guidance. He added that Research In Motion's expects its "financial performance will continue to be challenging for the next few quarters" and said more detail would be available when the results for the quarter are released June 28.

In other words everything is in the air and they aren't sure what will happen in the next few quarters. I guess this might include trying to sell what is left of themselves to Microsoft or Facebook or some sucker who will get smashed by the IPhone and Android.

The company, which also announced plans to reduce its workforce, has hired JPMorgan(JPM_) and Royal Bank of Canada(RBC_) to assist with the review of its operations and business. 

Friday, May 25, 2012

Um Worldwide Recession you Say Marc Faber?

Well this guy is the Gloom, Boom, and Doom maven so he might be overly negative although I have had rumblings of something like this occurring.

“As an observer of markets – whenever everyone focuses on one thing – like Greece and Europe – maybe they miss issues that are far more important – such as a meaningful slowdown in India and China.”

The latest reports from Beijing would support Faber's assertion.  The HSBC Flash Purchasing Managers Index, slipped to 48.7 in May from 49.3 in April. That marks the seventh straight month that the index has been below 50, a level which indicates economic activity is contracting.

Also I have heard that the Indian economy is slowing down as well:

The GDP scare today intensified even more after CLSA and Morgan Stanley revised their forecast for India lower to 6.3%. Goldman Sachs has also downgraded its estimates to 6.6%. Bank of America Merrill Lynch's estimates too have been revised down to 6.5%. CLSA told CNBC-TV18 that it doesn’t expect any improvement in the June quarter GDP reading.

The government’s Economic Survey sees FY13 GDP at 7.6%, while the finance ministry has been headstrong in stating that the government is hoping for a 7.5% growth. The RBI too has said it expects FY13 GDP to grow by 7.3%.

That is quite a disparity between the investment banks and the Indian Government but at least they are still growing about 3 times as much as the US. I mean Europe is pretty much in recession as a continent and will probably not grow for several years. The US could easily go into recession if we go off the "fiscal cliff" in January. While Japan is growing a pretty scant 1% and if China falls it will take Japan with it. That pretty much covers the biggest economies so maybe Faber is not too far off the mark in his assertion.

Another Failing of the Stimulus: More College Grads Than Ever Unemployed

Well, I'm still looking at what the $1 trillion in "stimulus" and $5 trillion added to the deficit has actually done for anyone. It seems for the first time in American history there are more people that have degrees or have some college experience are unemployed than those who dropped out or graduated high school. Hows that for Hope and Change?

Seasonally unadjusted BLS data from April show that about 4.7 million of the nation's 9 million unemployed either graduated from a four-year or a two-year college program or attended college for some time before dropping out. A smaller 4.3 million share of America's unemployed graduated only from high school or didn't finish high school. Jed Graham from Investor's Business Daily graphed the change.

Of course this article has to pound the point home that the class of 2012 are a bunch of lazy morons as well. If I were that sleeping grad I would sue the AP for making me look like crap:

The Amateur the New Book on Obama Pretty Scathing

Wow, I think I might want to pick this thing up to check out how bad it hits him. Judging from this review it gives you some serious insight into his character using 200 interviews from people at all times in his life.

Liberal Washington Post columnist Richard Cohen recently advised him to read Robert Caro's newest volume on the life of Lyndon Johnson as a primer on how to be president.  Johnson, of course, was a master at pulling levers of power, but he also knew how to persuade individual politicians on both sides of the aisle to work with him on legislation.  But, of course, LBJ also had the common touch and, having risen from humble beginnings, never considered it beneath him to work with those underneath him.  Not so Barack Obama.  He complained to foreign leaders that he had to waste time talking with "congressmen from Palookaville."  At another time, he switched locales and said he was tired of dealing with people from "Podunk."

This is the chief reason why he can't get anything passed in Washington. I think he views people on both sides of the aisle as beneath him. Even if that congressmen from Podunk will be instrumental in passing his budget or his green initiative he just hates having to work with them so he doesn't. This certainly explains why he was so hands off when it came to passing Obamacare and other legislation when the Dems still controlled Congress. 
Also he seems like a world class user as well:
Klein reveals dismay among former Obama supporters who feel they have been mistreated, maligned, and thrown under the bus.  Obama's most generous early donors have been all but ignored; early mentors in the black business community have been sidelined if not completely ditched; people don't hear from him or his staff unless a fundraiser is coming up. 

Yup, he only calls when he needs money. Kind of like a dead-beat brother-in-law or something similar. It also seems like Michele is a fat-hater and barred Oprah because she is too fat.
Oprah only wants to cash in using the White House as a backdrop for her show to perk up ratings. Oprah with her yo-yo dieting and huge girth, is a terrible role model. Kids will look at Oprah, who's rich and famous and huge, and figure it's okay to be fat.

In other words Michele to Oprah "Sorry fatty no White House for you!" I wonder if Adele or Kevin James would be barred from the White House functions as well? Obama also seems to have a Svengali or a Rasputin type figure lurking around him in the White House.

The role of Valerie Jarrett has prompted much speculation.  As Edward Klein notes, she has a mouthful of a title --  senior adviser and assistant to the president for intergovernmental affairs and public engagement -- that "doesn't begin to do justice to her unrivaled status in the White House."  Valerie Jarrett apparently has a role in most major decisions: she often appears in meetings the president has with major political leaders from Capitol Hill and with foreign leaders as well.  She often stays behind to have private discussions with the president.  Obama admitted that he ran every decision by her.
The more I read about this the more I want Hillary to run against him for the Democratic nomination. That way we either get Mitt or Hillary and both would be preferable to Obama in the next 4 years. She has experience in foreign policy, ran a business, and would actually listen to someone other than her husband and some Chicago Rasputin. I think if she wins quite a bit of the gridlock will be drained out of Washington because she was fairly well liked as a Senator and can actually work with the GOP. It would be a serious sit-down-and-think if she was pitted against Mitt for President. 

Thursday, May 24, 2012

Citadel Securities Loses Big on Facebook Trades

Well, at least one firm is in the red pretty decently from botched Facebook trades.

Citadel Securities, the retail arm of Ken Griffin’s Citadel Investment Group, has become the latest firm to report “significant losses” from Facebook trades on behalf of clients, according to people familiar with the situation. 

News of Citadel’s losses comes a day after Knight Capital disclosed that it could incur losses of $30-$35 million in the second quarter on Facebook [FB  33.03    1.03  (+3.22%)   ] trades alone.  

Now this sounds like a kick in the pants if I was a poor sucker trying to buy Facebook stock at the open:

Advisers familiar with the situation at Fidelity said many investors are now finding out, nearly a week after the fact, that their orders were not executed at the prices they thought. 

In other words you had to wait a week in order to see if you got in at $45 and are now sitting on a $12 a share loss or not. That sounds like they were using ENIAC mainframes at Nasdaq or something. The idea that you have to wait a whole week in order to figure out if you own a stock or not is just egregious. I hope the SEC levels stiff fines at everyone involved.

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Facebook is Going to Kill the Ad Sponsered Web?: Talk About Going from Hype to Despair

Now I think pundits are overcorrecting after hyping Facebook to high heaven.

Facebook is not only on course to go bust, but will take the rest of the ad-supported Web with it.

Given its vast cash reserves and the glacial pace of business reckonings, that will sound hyperbolic. But that doesn't mean it isn't true.

At the heart of the Internet business is one of the great business fallacies of our time: that the Web, with all its targeting abilities, can be a more efficient, and hence more profitable, advertising medium than traditional media. Facebook, with its 900 million users, valuation of around $100 billion, and the bulk of its business in traditional display advertising, is now at the heart of the heart of the fallacy.

I have to agree with this article when it says that the death of Facebook will deal a serious blow to banner ads since it will show Madison Avenue that even if you have 900 million or a billion users you still hardly get any of them to click on your ad. They will figure that shoveling money toward Facebook might be a waste like GM recently has.

However I don't think the ad-supported Web will die because of Facebook's potential demise. Also this argument that the Web is a more efficient and profitable advertising media is not a fallacy. Traditional ads have always been shoveling money at something for a non-measurable return. You put on a 30 second commercial and hopefully people buy your crap. If you put that commercial in front of a million people it is better than only 10,000 people. It isn't rocket science.

So advertisers follow the people. They think that Facebook has 500 million sets of active eyeballs so they have to get their ads in front of those people. It is pretty much like advertising on a billboard. People see it and think I need that product. The Web allows you a more efficient way to go from the "I need that product" to the "I'll buy that product" by clicking through the banner ad. The problem is that not enough people are doing that to make Facebook grow long term and have it trade at that high a multiple.

However, that doesn't kill the ad-sponsored Web by any stretch of the imagination. I mean billboards still provide a pretty decent stream of revenue and there is no way to measure how effective they are at selling the ad buyers crap. So banner ads will become the billboards of the Web and will be priced with a similar model. I mean if you want to get people to notice your product putting a billboard in front of 500 million people isn't the worst thing you can do.

This "banner ads as billboards" effect doesn't mean that suddenly all of the ad dollars will drain out of the Web. I mean where are they going to go instead? All of the traditional media has been tried and most of them have no way of measuring their effectiveness. Companies are still shoveling billions toward prime time TV even though time shifting is making it so that less and less people see those commercials.

I mean most traditional media sources are having problems with diminishing eyeballs as we speak. People watch less prime time TV, read less magazines and newspapers, and most people throw away direct mail without looking at it. So the Web is the last place where there are millions of eyeballs that you can put your crap in front of. The banner ad might not be the most effective way of selling your crap but it sure beats sending out a million flyers and hoping you get some business from them. 

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Facebook Continues to Drop: I'm Just Not Sure How they Grow Revenue in the Future

The stock kept falling today as people finally come to the realization that this stock is not the next Google and might be shrinking rather than growing as people think is supposed to happen.

Facebook released an amendment to its S-1 filing Monday, showing a drop in advertising revenue for the quarter. Total advertising revenue amounted to $872 million in the quarter ending March 31, down from $943 million in Q4 2011, but up from $731 million during the same period a year ago.

That does sound worrying but I figure that is mostly seasonality as people ramp up the ads for Christmas and then take them down when the new year comes along. Now they need to have a big time growth number in Q2 or we might see the stock become a victim of "half-off sale" from its IPO price. 

I'm still not 100% sure how it makes any more money from its 900 million accounts. Only 532 million actually log in daily so that number should be correct amount of "users" of the site. That 900 million figure should just be buried since 400 million of those accounts are simply sitting on a server somewhere waiting to be deleted.

Supposedly these 532 million users are worth $9.51 in ad revenue each. I'm just not sure how realistic that figure is because I have never clicked through to a banner ad on Facebook or any other internet property since like 1998. That model didn't work then either. Maybe there is a bunch of people on Facebook who are assiduously clicking ads for whatever reason but it just doesn't seem plausible. It would be interesting to see the exact number of impressions that each Facebook ad generates and compare them to the click-through on a top ranking on a Google search.

Also the gaming aspect (aka payments and fees which is about 20% of their revenue) is dying a slow death due to smart phones. The only reason I went to Facebook (before I deleted my account due to privacy concerns) was to play games. Now I play the same exact same games on my smartphone for free without needing the Facebook front-end to get to them. You can be sure that this trend will not slow down any time soon and this revenue stream will be dead in 3 years or less.

I have also read that mobile is the big revenue driver for Facebook going forward. I just don't see the people who aren't clicking through to the ads on the desktop version of Facebook would suddenly click through to the ads on a smart phone. This is doubly true when they have a data plan that costs them money for internet usage over a certain limit. People would be even more loathe to click through an ad when it wastes precious bandwidth that they need to play games, upload pics, or check their mail. So I don't see an ad based model bringing in big-time revenue growth on the mobile version of Facebook either.

Maybe Instagram will be their savior because I downloaded the app and it is pretty damn cool. I mostly use it to check to see what pictures celebrities put up since no one I know uses the app at all. If they can somehow get advertisers to pay for placement on Instagram or have people join corporate picture feeds (the Red Bull one would have lots of gals in bikinis for instance) they might have something. The problem is that Instagram has no moat and can be duplicated pretty easily by Google or someone who has a better idea.

Whatever the case the thing that would make Facebook big money just hasn't come out yet and that is bad news for a company valued at 70x earnings (50x now I think.) The idea of paying such a high premium hoping that Zuckerberg can crank out something awesome when proven tech companies like Apple, Amazon, and Google are trading so cheaply just doesn't make any sense to me.

Part of the Monday Swoon in Facebook Shares Attributed to NASDAQs self inflicted wound?

I guess we can see why there was a run on the stock at the open on Monday.

It started with an alert sent out Monday morning by Nasdaq OMX Group, the exchange whose technical glitches caused a delayed opening of Facebook on Friday and left many orders unfilled.

The alert said that any investor who lost money because of the delay could be eligible for compensation. Claims had to be submitted by noon on Monday. 

So what happened was that people sold the stock with both hands and eventually the stock recovered after the noon deadline had passed. Either way I think NASDAQ and Morgan Stanley needs to sit down in from of regulators and figure out exactly what happened and see that it doesn't happen again.

Former Greek Prime Minister Talks About Euro Exit

I think they need to just pull the band-aid off of the wound and leave the Euro already. This he-said-Papa said BS is beginning to look stupid.

Greece's financial stability fund approved an 18 billion euro ($23 billion) injection of capital into the country's four biggest banks on Tuesday and will release the funds on Wednesday, a fund official said. 

At the same time, news reports quoted former Greece Prime Minister Lucas Papademos as saying that preparations for the country's exit from the euro zone are being considered.

I think the IMF needs to get some economists together in a room and hash out exactly what the fallout would be if Greece left the Euro by a certain date. They can look at the potential losses and different exit scenarios so we can get some clarity on this mess.

If You Own a Ferrari in Italy the Tax Man Cometh

Well, it seems that Europeans are finally understanding that increasing their revenue means going after tax cheats. It seems that Italy has a very long history of people not paying their taxes to the government and they seem to be driving Ferraris.

A widely reported tax blitz in January on Cortina D'Ampezzo, the winter playground for the rich and famous, received widespread support from Italians. Tax authorities looked into the owners of 133 Lamborghinis, Ferraris, and other luxury cars and found nearly a third of the owners declared incomes of less than $30,000 per year – a laughable amount, considering not only the cost of their cars but the $8.95/gallon cost of gasoline. 

In other words these guys who reported to be making less than I am are driving around in $100k cars burning $8.95 a gallon gas. Yeah they are hiding their income alright.

Now the DEA is getting in on the Prostitutes

It seems that the Secret Service isn't the only government agency partaking of the worlds oldest profession.

"It's disturbing that we may be uncovering a troubling culture that spans more than one law enforcement agency," the Maine Republican said this evening. "In addition to the Secret Service scandal, we now learn that at least two DEA agents apparently entertained female foreign national masseuses in the Cartagena apartment of one of the agents. The evidence uncovered thus far indicates that this likely was not just a one-time incident." 

Again it isn't the act itself that is troubling to me but the idea that these guys are now prime for blackmail. All it takes is a hidden camera and suddenly a drug cartel has a DEA agent on the payroll. 

Friday, May 18, 2012

Yet Another Case of Individual Investors Taking the Hype of the Facebook IPO

I'm glad some of these people have financial planners to keep themselves from freaking out.

On Monday, 74-year-old Betty Tanguilig told her financial adviser to liquidate a $400,000 account and put all the proceeds into Facebook Inc IPO shares.


Her adviser, Alan Haft, agreed to sell only $46,000 of the $400,000 account, one of several the retiree has. But at about 6:00 a.m. EDT Friday, Haft heard from his brokerage firm, E*Trade Financial Corp, that Tanguilig did not get any IPO shares.


Tanguilig, a retired mother of eight, was furious. She has been on Facebook for many years and regularly logs in. "I had to have it," she said.

So this poor woman wanted to liquidate her entire account and buy shares of Facebook? Now that is a bigger epic fail than its IPO debut.

Facebook Debut an Epic Fail; Underwriters had to Rush to Keep it Above IPO Price

Now this is embarrassing for a "historic IPO" and the greatest of all time and other hyperbole that was used by CNBC to hype Facebook.

But the shares lost steam in the final hour of trading, and fell back to the $38 level—a tepid performance for one of the largest and most closely watched IPOs. More than 30 banks were involved in the offering, which sold at least 421 million shares to investors.

There was supposed to be a rush to keep the stock above the IPO price of $38 which would have been a serious embarrassment for the underwriters and Facebook as well. Also I hope this guy was able to get in at $38 and not $45 because he swallowed that CNBC hype uncooked:

"If it wasn't for Facebook I wouldn't be here," he said as he left the branch to go to his bank and transfer money into his new account. "I missed out on Groupon when it went public, so I'm not going to miss the boat this time."

Mr. Hodges said he plans to invest $10,000 in Facebook shares—including $4,500 of his own money and $5,500 from his mother.


Mr. Hodges expressed confidence in Mark Zuckerberg as Facebook's CEO and said he isn't worried about Mr. Zuckerberg being young. "To me, he's a genius. You know, he created something for the whole world... Everything is social now. The world is a different place with Facebook," he said.

Um, Mr. Hodges has no business investing his or his mom's money because he just isn't very good at it. If he bought Groupon at the IPO price of $20 he would be down $8.42 a share on paper. In other words he would have lost nearly half of his initial investment. Or maybe to put it in a positive light he "missed the boat" on losing $8.42 a share which is a pretty good deal I think. In any case he is not the kind of retail investor that WSJ should be interviewing.

I'm not saying that Facebook will drop too far below $38 since I think the underwriters will prop it up as much as they can to not look like fools to have priced the stock too high. Facebook just isn't worth half of Google's market cap but trades at 45 times earnings while Google trades at only 12 times earnings. Google is growing their earnings at a 60% clip.

Facebook is basically trading on the hope that Zuckerberg can keep Facebook growing its earnings +50% a year for quite a while. I mean the stock is worth 1/5th of Apple and doesn't come close to growing their revenue at anywhere near the 94% that Apple currently is. I think Facebook should have priced a smaller allotment than 18% of float at $30 and they would have had lots of room to grow higher. Right now they are priced for even more than perfection. I just don't see how they can do it by only selling banner ads.

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

More Looming Problems: Congress About to Jump Off The "Fiscal Cliff?"

In my opinion they have already jumped off of it but if they don't do anything by Jan 1st 2013 then it might get pretty bad.

Economists agree that tax hikes and spending cuts will drag down economic growth in 2013 yet the estimates vary. Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi predicts the fiscal drag next year could be to closer to 1.5 of a percentage point of GDP. The Congressional Budget Office calculated GDP could drop by nearly 3.6 percentage points in the 2013 fiscal year while Morgan Stanley economist David Greenlaw says fiscal tightening could translate into a 5 percent drag on GDP during the 2013 calendar year.

So with our anemic 2% GDP growth a -5% smack in the face will put us right into a recession for 2013. The bad part is that Congress is such a joke that they probably won't get anything done until right after the election. If the GOP wins they might be able to throw something together to at least push the deadline forward until the 1st quarter of 2013.

However, the markets get to be in uncertainty mode until they finally get something done. The idea that a bunch of Americans need to figure out if they will be paying 15% or 35% capital gains taxes come Jan 1st will be sure to rile the markets at the end of the year.

Obama's Gay Marriage Stance Viewed as Politcal Move according to Recent Poll

I think they did not read the poll numbers on this whole gay marriage thing that Biden had him step into.

Most of those polled say the president's position will not impact how they vote. But among those who say it will influence their choice, 26 percent said they are less likely to vote for Obama as a result, while 16 percent say they are more likely to.

And in what is expected to be a tight race, "even a small shift in swing states could be costly," says the Times.

I would be willing to bet many of those lost votes will be in areas with minorities who are religious that would normally vote for him and did so in the past. If they don't vote for him or just don't turn up like they did in 2008 then states like North Carolina, Colorado, and maybe Nevada would jump to Romney. This part of the poll jumped out at me as well.

Sixty-seven percent said they thought Obama's announcement was made "mostly for political reasons," while 24 percent said it was "mostly because he thinks it is right."

In another potentially damaging sign, 70 percent of Independents attribute the president's move to politics, along with nearly half of Democrats.

That is quite a wide margin who thinks that the only reason he made the announcement in the first place was for political reasons instead of an actual stand on an issue. Basically he flip-flopped so that he can get some of that sweet Hollywood cashola. Obama seemed like he was anti-gay marriage right up until George Clooney waved his checkbook at him. Suddenly he was all for it. That shows that Obama needs about $15 million in donations in order to change his mind on something. Maybe Israel needs to throw him a fundraiser in the near future and they can take care of this whole Iranian nuke thing.

Monday, May 14, 2012

Greece Owes 436 Million Euros Due Tomorrow?

This Greek mess is getting stranger and stranger as we speak.

Greece has a 436 million euro principal repayment due Tuesday. So far, the country has not decided what to do.

Under normal Greek-debt contracts, if Greece doesn’t pay, it would have only a seven-day grace period. But experts who have pored over all of this have found that one of the key paragraphs from the normally boiler-point language is missing. 

As a result, Greece will have a 30-day grace period, leading to the possibility of an extended, “Will they?” or “won’t they?” drama.

What sort of an organization are they running when they leave out a paragraph on how long a grace period will be when there is 436 million Euros due to your indebted asses? So is it the total amount due in 7 days or 30 days? Or will the commie government just say to hell with the payment and Greece goes into technical default? I assume they will be good for the money but 436 million Euros due tomorrow sounds pretty scary.

This whole thing reminds me of the scene from Trading Places where the Commodity Exchange guys go to the Dukes and say "Margin Call Gentlemen." Then Greece says in a high pitched voice. "We can't come up with 436 million Euros by the close of business tomorrow!" This whole thing is such a joke.

Friday, May 11, 2012

Mayan Apocalypse Put Off for Billions of Years

It seems that way from a recently unearthed Mayan calendar.

The hieroglyphs, painted in black and red, along with a colorful mural of a king and his mysterious attendants, seem to have been a sort of handy reference chart for court scribes in A.D. 800 — the astronomers and mathematicians of their day. Contrary to popular myth, this calendar isn't a countdown to the end of the world in December 2012, the study researchers said.

"The Mayan calendar is going to keep going for billions, trillions, octillions of years into the future," said archaeologist David Stuart of the University of Texas, who worked to decipher the glyphs. "Numbers we can't even wrap our heads around."

The attendants mentioned were called Older Brother Obsidian and Younger Brother Obsidian. I wonder if they were some kind of servants to the king or from the scribe class. In any case they sound like awesome both characters in a D&D game.

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Hit Piece Goes After Romney in Prep School 50 years ago

Now this is a new low for the mainstream media I think.

Mitt Romney has apologized for incidents described in a Washington Post story about his prep school years in Michigan. Some of the events include forcibly cutting a boy's bleached-blond hair and hassling a closeted gay student in English class.

"Back in high school, I did some dumb things," Romney said in an interview on the "Kilmeade and Friends" talk show on Fox News radio Thursday. "And if anybody was hurt by that or offended by that, I apologize." He added: "There is no question I became a very different person since then."

These are things that happened 50 years ago. I mean just about everyone has done some stupid stuff in high school and it should not come under scrutiny if they run for President half a decade later. I mean Obama is supposed to have smoked pot and snorted coke and was a small time drug dealer at Punahou. I didn't think that was relevant to the man now because it can all be chalked up to youthful indiscretion. 

If Romney was still forcefully cutting off some blond guys long hair or Obama was dealing out of the Oval Office it would be relevant but this scrutiny is just absurd.

Friday, April 27, 2012

ETFs are like the Internet while Mutual Funds are the Newspaper Says WisdomTree CEO

I tend to agree with his statement.

"The ETF is to the mutual fund, what the internet is to the newspaper," Steinberg says in the attached video, shot after a panel discussion on the issue hosted by the New York Stock Exchange. "Because of the added functionality, full transparency, greater liquidity, greater tax efficiency, those characteristics are so important for investing. That's why I think it's a better mouse trap."

They are much easier to deal with than Mutual Funds for the most part and you don't have to worry about having a $2500 minimum in order to buy one. You can also put a nice stop loss on them just in case you want to get out of the position in a down market. With a mutual fund you have to put in a sell order and wait for the next day before it is filled. You might miss an opportunity in the meantime. You also don't have to worry about a weird capital gain or a tax bill showing up at the end of the year.

Amazingly, in the vastly growing universe of some 1,500 different exchange traded products, there are currently 47 actively managed ETFs to choose from, meaning the remaining 97% of products fall into the passive, unmanaged or specialty categories. Of those 47 actively managed funds, Steinberg's firm currently runs 14 of them, giving them a quick lead in a market segment that he says is set for "literally trillions and trillions and trillions of future growth."

The only problem I have with managed ETFs is that some of them are hardly traded and I just don't like buying a security that has a daily volume of 200-600 shares or something. It just makes me feel like I would be getting a poor price when I get into a product like that.

Thursday, April 26, 2012

Playoffs? Playoffs? College Football Finally Removes Their Heads from Their Asses

I think the lure of huge money has finally outweighed all the stupidity that went on with the BCS in the past few years.

As for the 14-year-old Bowl Championship Series, it's on life support. Any chance that it survives past the next two seasons? "I hope not," said Southeastern Conference Commissioner Mike Slive, who pitched a four-team playoff four years ago but was shot down at this same hotel beachside hotel.

"This is a seismic change for college football," BCS Executive Director Bill Hancock said after the 11 conference commissioners and Notre Dame's athletic director wrapped up three days of meetings in south Florida.

I think the SEC leaning on this whole process is what made it happen. Even though there were two SEC teams going for the title this past year this Slive guy had some heavy firepower at his disposal. I think the sheer stupidity all the teams from the West Coast trying to get into the "Big East" may have turned the tide as well. 

Among those debates: Slive prefers the four top-ranked teams regardless of conferences in the playoffs. Scott likes the idea of taking the top four conference champions as a way of moving away from the subjectivity of polls that dominant the current BCS standings.

Slive's idea above would be awesome because it could give some teams from the non-power conferences a chance at the National Title. In other words if Hawaii is undefeated they can theoretically challenge for the National Title. More than likely they would be ranked number 5 but the chance is still there. But Boise would have had a shot at the National Title for several years already.

On the other hand this Scott character is obviously an idiot because it will be the Champions of the Power Conferences year after year playing in the playoffs no matter what. Who would conceive of the Mountain West Champion being given the edge over the ACC Champion or the Pac12 Champion in any given year. 

Also this system will be ripe for a screw-up where an undefeated team can't go to the playoffs even though they win their Championship while a one or more loss team wins their Championship and gets to the playoffs instead. Also if for whatever reason the SEC is left out of the playoffs expect a second succession from the Union.

What would be interesting is to see if the Playoff worthy Conference is selected because of non-conference wins against ranked opponents. So that Clemson vs. South Carolina or a Florida State vs. Florida matchup early in the season might be for a chance for their Conference to get a Playoff berth. Also you wouldn't have Texas ducking Hawaii because that win would count for a Big 12 Playoff Berth.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Awesome Gallery of 870,000 New York Photos Published Online

This seems to be an awesome historical record that I can't wait to delve into.

Almost a million images of New York and its municipal operations have been made public for the first time on the internet.
The city's Department of Records officially announced the debut of the photo database.
Culled from the Municipal Archives collection of more than 2.2 million images going back to the mid-1800s, the 870,000 photographs feature all manner of city oversight -- from stately ports and bridges to grisly gangland killings.

I know a photo can show you more history than just about anything and can seriously spark your imagination. I hope more catalogues of photos show up online for amateur historians to pour over.

The Royals Have Been Mathematically Eliminated

Well, I guess that is what this fan thinks of their 3-14 start.

Thursday, April 19, 2012

Mark Your Calendar April 20, 1912 is Throwback Uniform Day at Yankee Stadium

The Red Sox cap actually looks kind of cool.

The Red Sox version, which we've seen before, is all white and decidedly no-frills. Boston always looks like a collection of house painters, ice cream men or — in the case of Dustin Pedroia — the young flat-brimmed punk loitering outside the Cinnabon at your local mall when they wear these.

The Yankees version is a little more familiar to the modern day baseball fan, though the relatively unfamiliar color combination reminds me of something the young flat-brimmed punk at your local mall would wear while standing in line at Sbarro.

The Yankee's cap does look a little like something you could buy at Lidz. However, I kind of wish they had the really small brims like they had in 1912. 

Tuesday, April 17, 2012

3D Printer Used to Make Drugs in a Lab: Um, I wouldn't take HPs Aspirin for Any Reason

Now this is really quite a breakthrough that should make drugs cheaper and easier to get out there to the masses.

Professor Lee Cronin and his team introduced the tech in a research paper, published in Nature Chemistry. The researchers modified a currently available 3D printer they purchased for $2,000, adding vessels with chemicals in them. In doing so, they created what they call "reactionware," a far cheaper, smaller scale version of incredibly expensive chemical engineering equipment.

The innovation could expand access to expensive cancer drugs, allowing pharmacies to fill prescriptions for patients on demand or even allowing patients to print their own medicine from home. According to Cronin, "we could use 3D printers to revolutionize access to health care in the developing world, allowing diagnosis and treatment to happen in a much more efficient and economical way than is possible now."

However, I would not trust any 3D printer from HP that would make my drugs. I mean first of all their software is always messy bloatware but now the quality of their printers are pretty suspect. All it takes is one driver error or fuser malfunction and you are taking arsenic instead of aspirin. I would certainly not take any drug that I would need to print from an HP home printer knowing how they are basically made to sell toner and not to last for any length of time. 

Thursday, April 12, 2012

White House goes after Stay-at-Home Moms saying they "Haven't Worked a Day in Their Lives."

This is a pretty mean thing to say about Ms. Romney and her staying home and raising her 5 sons.

The first small-print one — "Adviser to Obama, DNC Attacks Ann Romney" — goes to this video clip of DNC advisor Hilary Rosen, trying to say that Mitt Romney "doesn't connect" on the issue of women struggling economically: He's "running around the country, saying, well, my wife tells me that what women really care about are economic issues, and when I listen to my wife, that's what I'm hearing." She pauses, then blurts out the unfortunate line, which she clearly thinks is a great zinger: "Guess what? His wife has actually not worked a day in her life." She ends with "He seems so old fashioned." 

So raising 5 boys is "not working a day in her life?" I thought women were allowed to stay home and take care of their kids if they chose to. It seems that this Rosen character figures that they aren't "really working" so why pay them any mind. I wonder why the White House hates stay-at-home mothers so much?

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Whoops Spoke Too Soon: Santorum is Done; Drops out of Race

Well our access to porn is safe for the time being. The Church Lady has dropped out.

After calling Mitt Romney to concede the race for the Republican nomination, Rick Santorum suspended his campaign Tuesday during a press conference in Pennsylvania, his home state.

"We will suspend our campaign effective today," Santorum said surrounded by members of his family in Gettysburg.

Now all is left is for Newt to drop out and all the money and attention should be placed back on Romney. I think Mitt is not the best candidate we could have but the GOP now has the opportunity to close ranks and make Obama a one-termer. I'm hoping a Ryan or a Cantor as VP will get me excited about voting for Mitt.

Santorum Suspends Campaign to Take Care of Sick Daughter

Um, I think it might be time to pack up the tent Church Lady because taking care of your daughter trumps making it easy for Obama to win re-election.

Santorum announced his withdrawal from the race in Gettysburg, Pa., where he was originally scheduled to hold an event as he said that daughter Bella's illness was part of the reason he considered suspending the campaign.

Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Blackstone's Byron Wien Says Bull Market Will Continue the Rest of the Year

He seems to be considering there is money on the sidelines that has yet to enter the market.

“Over the past three months the pessimistic mood has changed to optimism,” continues Wien, formerly the long-time chief investment strategist at Morgan Stanley. “Ordinarily, optimistic sentiment readings presage a market correction, but there are so many investors looking for an opportunity to increase their exposure that even a minor downdraft gets cut short by a flood of buyers. This could continue for a while.”

I know there seems to be a move out of bonds and into stocks. I think many Americans are getting tired of earning less than 1% interest on their money. Also he cites Apple paying a dividend which may mean companies might be whittling down their cash hoards so that they could give it back to investors. We just need to watch out for the sabre rattling coming out of Iran because $300 oil will black swan this market.

Monday, April 02, 2012

Someone Needs to Get Fired at NBC for Doctoring Zimmerman 911 Tapes: Today Show Should be Ashamed

This has to be one of the most egregious examples on how the media just does whatever it wants even if it has to doctor footage to get their narrative strait.

As exposed by Fox News and media watchdog site NewsBusters, the “Today” segment took this approach to a key part of the dispatcher call:
Zimmerman: This guy looks like he’s up to no good. He looks black.
Here’s how the actual conversation went down:
Zimmerman: This guy looks like he’s up to no good. Or he’s on drugs or something. It’s raining and he’s just walking around, looking about.
Dispatcher: OK, and this guy — is he black, white or Hispanic?
Zimmerman: He looks black.
Zimmerman just went from a guy answering a dispatchers question to a racist in one little turn of the editors sound board knob. I mean does NBC think they could get away with kind of thing without some sort of oversight. If not for hated Fox News and their so-called "conservative agenda" this kind of blatant falsehood would have been hidden from everyone. I really hope this went all the way up to Matt Laurer so they can clean house and get some actual unbiased newspeople in there. Until then I'm done watching the Today Show. I hope anyone who cares about unbiased news is with me as well.