Tuesday, January 31, 2006

Some stuff about the Military

Good praise for the military and their sacrifice. Dan Clay is mentioned. He faces death with a feeling that we don't have to. Good poinant feelings from a "wuss" as the LA Times would have us believe.

Decision made by Commanders

It is nice to hear him say that. Let the guys on the ground make the pull back decisions and not he politicians. Second guessing is not a strategy. Sudden withdrawl will doom the Iraqis. Put Bing Laden in charge of Iraq. We must stand behind the military gets a standing O.

False Comfort of Isolationism

He looks pretty grim. This is a great speech thus far. Clear plan for victory in Iraq. Work with Iraqis, corruption, modern economy, train Iraqi forces to fight for themselves. Proud to be their allys in freedom.

Enemy is brutal too. 3 years from dictatorship to democracy. Confident in the Iraqi people and our ability to win it. At least he is outlining a plan.

No Peace in Retreat

Hmm radical Islam is the enemy now. US will never surrender to evil gets another standing O.

Hmm weapons of mass murder

That seems to be a new term. Not just mass destruction. The weapon of fear and the Beslan tragedy is pointed. We love our freedom and we will fight to keep it gets a standing O.

History of Democracy

Wow quite a few democracies nowadays. 1/2 the people in the world are in one. Wow he actually said an African country in there. Zimbabwe.

Long term goal

End of tyranny in the world. Sounds like a good deal to me. Every step toward freedom makes the US safer. I agree with that.

State of the Union

Calls for civility and to not have differences harden into anger. He will do his part together with the other folks. He is against protectionism? That is different vis a vis steel tarrifs.

Coretta Scott King Honored

He comes right out and honors her. That is a good deal. Oh well Kanye I guess he does care about black people after all.

Okay and were off

Everyone gives him a standing O and W has that weird smirk on his face again.

Big Applause when he shakes the justices hands

He did get Alito and Roberts in there.

He's got on a blue tie

Hmm no red power tie for W this time. Good sustained applause.

I might as well Live Blog the thing

State of the Union Live blog begins. So far the mikes are a joke on this site. Here comes W.

I'm Listening to the State of the Union

Should be a pretty good deal today. I'm curious on what he has to say about Hamas and Iran mostly. I am listening to the streaming video at the white house web site.

Iran Document outlines Nuke Know-how

It looks like Iran was trying to get a copy of some kind of document:

The agency refused to make a judgment on what possible uses such casts would have. But diplomats familiar with the probe into Iran's nuclear program said then that the papers apparently were instructions on how to mold highly enriched grade uranium into the core of warheads.

In the brief report obtained Tuesday, however, the agency said bluntly that the 15-page document showing how to cast fissile uranium into metal was "related to the fabrication of nuclear weapon components."

It was obtained from some kind of shady source called the nuclear black market network. Which I guess is some kind of home shopping network for rogue states looking to get some nuke building how-to. Let's hope this isn't faked like that yellow-cake uranium from Niger crap that the Brits got fooled by.

Alito is In.

It was the most partisan vote in modern history or whatever they are saying about it.

Alito's swearing-in came only hours after the Senate voted 58-42 to confirm Alito — a former federal appellate judge, U.S. attorney, and conservative lawyer for the Reagan administration from New Jersey — as the replacement for retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor who has been a moderate swing vote on the court.

Now lets see what the court does on these upcoming abortion rights issues. They have skewed a bit to the right but you never know what you are going to get when it comes to this stuff. I have a feeling that Alito will be voting in such a way that he won't legislate from the bench. He seems like a pretty even tempered guy and not some fiery anti-abortion type. This looks like one of those its a bleak day for liberals kind of picture though:

Friday, January 27, 2006

Fatah loses Election but Wins NCAA Championship

This looks like a Championship Celebration in the US. That is Michigan State on the top err... bottom.

Livni is So Right on This

That same article has got me thinking.

Acting Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni asked world leaders not to legitimize a government led by Hamas, saying elections are not a "whitewash" for terrorist groups.

Livni told reporters that Israel's withdrawal from the Gaza Strip last summer opened a window of opportunity in peace efforts, but with the election of Hamas, "the Palestinians slammed it shut."

Yup, Livni is so on the mark with that statement. Pulling those hapless settlers out of Gaza was as wrenching a thing as any that the IDF had done in their history. They had to kick their own people off of land that their fathers and mothers had bled and died for. Some of the stuff was genuinely tough to see like that Rabbi's pulling the Torah out of the Synagogue and knowing that he will never return.

And now Hamas could lead the Palestinians into a path that might lead to strife for years to come. In the words of LBJ "Israel offered the Olive Branch and Hamas has snapped it in half."

Fatah Rioting in the Streets

Oh great now we could have a little civil war going on in Palestine.

Thousands of activists from Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas'
Fatah West Bank and Gaza Strip on Friday, burning abandoned cars, shooting in the air and demanding corrupt leaders resign after their devastating election loss to the militant Hamas movement.


If Fatah just hired Bush's campaign manager, Ken Mehlman as the head of the campaign commitee they wouldn't be in this mess. I mean they would have done a candidate makeover and said "we are the party that doesn't blow up Israelis." Well, that would probably get more Hamas votes. Maybe they should have had the slogan "We are getting rid of the corruption that we caused. Fatah cleaning up our own mess."

Anti-Mohammed Cartoon Sparks Demonstrations

It seems that Jyllands-Posten a Danish conservative newspaper has sparked some big time controversy in the Muslim world.

In a virulent sermon from the pulpit of his mosque in the Shiite Kadhimiya neighborhood of Baghdad, Sheikh Hazem al-Aaraji described the cartoons as an attack on Islam.

"They want to disfigure Islam and this we cannot accept. These cartoons directly attack the personality of the messenger of God. We say to them: they cannot attack Mohammed, nor any of the prophets," thundered the preacher, who is a follower of firebrand Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.

I thought that this was just those firebrand Muslim preachers railing against something happening in the Western world that they don't like (which seems to be a lot.) But this is pretty offensive thing that this Danish newspaper brought out. It is I guess implying that Mohammed is a suicide bomber. I googled the pic and found it at this site.



This kind of thing is pretty much like having a cartoon of Jesus sitting in the electric chair in the Weekly Standard. I mean this cartoon could probably get some cash from the National Endowment for the Arts but this Danish newspaper needs to have some editorial oversite when it comes to this kind of thing.

I am all for free speech but this joins the ranks of Piss Christ as things that are rightly viewed as offensive to believers. And people wonder why the Muslim World has such hatred for the Western World.

Thursday, January 26, 2006

MSFT Earnings In Line

Hmm it looks like a pretty good quarter for MSFT.

For the three months ended Dec. 31, the Redmond-based software maker reported earnings of $3.65 billion, or 34 cents per share, up from $3.46 billion, or 32 cents per share, in the same period last year.

The results included a one-time tax benefit of $108 million, or 1 cent per share. Without the one-time benefit, Microsoft met the expectations of analysts polled by Thomson Financial, who were projecting earnings of 33 cents per share on revenue of $11.96 billion.
Microsoft said revenue rose 9 percent to $11.84 billion, up from $10.82 billion in the same period a year earlier.


They also guided higher but it looks like Xbox 360 fell short of estimates and that worries me. I knew that they would have shortages in components and this kind of thing is just what Sony and Nintendo is looking for. If MSFT stumbles here then they can kiss the console lead goodbye for another cycle.

This opportunity was tailor made for them. They had a Christmas all to themselves with plenty of buzz going in. It could have been a slam dunk if they concentrated on rolling it out in the US. But they may have blown it by going global before they had the units to do so.

They should have at least delayed the Japan launch until after Christmas. I know Christmas is getting big in Japan but it is nothing like the insane spending juggernaught that it is here in the US. They could have then concentrated all of their juice on rolling it out big in Japan to capture a bigger amount of sales. Instead they fell shot.

The Xbox 360 made a huge splash when it debuted on Nov. 22 in North America, where it sold 900,000 units by Dec. 31 and demand has outpaced supply. It also got a warm reception in Europe, where sales hit 500,000 at year end. But it was a different story in Japan, where response was tepid and sales came in under targets at around 100,000.

Yup 100,00 measly units was all they could muster in Japan. Oh well, I guess it may be time to take MSFT off of your watch lists. I think it will be trade ranged for a long time.

Would the Hamas win be good for Benjamin Netanyahu?

It looks like Mr. Netanyahu could be the big winner out of Hamas coming to power. He had hardline credentials when he was Prime Minister and Likud looks pretty hawkish nowadays. Will the Israelis embrace Likud now that their neighbor has their destruction of their people as a plank in their platform? It seems like it depending on what Hamas does.

I think this is a historic time for Hamas to renounce all of the that terrorist crap and work with Israel like a party that is worthy of leading a nation. The destruction of Israel is totally impossible anyway. So they should instead advocate the building of a Palestinian nation that lives side by side with their former hated enemy. Kind of like India and Pakistan.

A softer Hamas will get the Kadima party into power and the peace plan will be back on. But a Hamas that is just more of the same will probably get Likud back into power. Then we will truly have a Middle East Crisis if they call off the truce. Likud won't back down from terror. They will amp up the security measures and maybe even Apache assassinate some leaders if Hamas suicide bombers start showing up in Israel.

I mean Hamas really doesn't have much to lose if they are interested in tangling with Israel again. Most of their top guys are hiding out in Syria and it looks like Israel will become the bad guy again depending on what actions they take. A Likud-led Israel which is hardline and starts rolling the tanks will be hated by the world. While the scrappy so-called "freedom fighters" will get the role of the persecuted minority but this time they are duly elected by their people. Ain't democracy grand?

Hamas Comes in for the Big Win

Wow they really won a landslide victory .

Hamas won 76 seats in the 132-member parliament, while Fatah, which controlled Palestinian politics for four decades, won 43 seats, said Hanna Nasser, head of the Central Election commission. The 13 remaining seats went to several smaller parties and independents.

Now this really throws this whole thing into a whirlwind here. We have Iran threatening Israel then taking off the seals on the nuclear research, then Sharon getting a stroke, and now Hamas heading the government of Palestine.

Any peace plan may be dead as dirt now depending on what Hamas does:

"The state of Israel will not negotiate with a Palestinian administration if even part of it is an armed terrorist organization calling for the destruction of the state of Israel," said Olmert's statement, issued after a three-hour emergency Cabinet meeting.

Hamas doesn't look to be backing away from the destruction of Israel pledge as well. Also they probably aren't going to disarm so what are the Israelis going to do? Are they going to back away from Palestine, negotiate with terrorist killers, or get hard line on them since. Any further attacks by Hamas is kind of like one government going after another. Especially if Hamas picks a Prime Minister and Fatah backs off from supporting them in a coalition government:

The biggest party in parliament can veto the president's choice of prime minister. Hamas called for immediate talks among factions to discuss a new government and Palestinian officials said President Mahmoud Abbas would ask Hamas to form one.

But Fatah leaders said they wanted no part in such a coalition -- a recipe for possible political paralysis.

Now it seems there will be a Mexican Standoff in the Middle East now. Will Hamas back down and renounce the destruction of Israel? They have to in order to join the international community and for any peace plan to go forward. And how will the Israelis react? These are some real crisis times for God's chosen people. The US needs to be sending Ehud Olmert some Alka Selzer in those Cosco size boxes because he is going to need them.

Oprah Turns on Frey

Oprah jumped to defend him and now she is cutting him loose much to her credit.

"I have been really embarrassed by this," said Winfrey, whose praise for Frey's book in September helped make it the top-selling book on nonfiction lists in the United States last year.

"I really feel duped," she told Frey on her television show. She said he had betrayed millions of viewers.

She also did this with Frey sitting right next to her. So she confronted him and got him to admit that he lied in his book.

He spent two hours in jail, not 87 days, and the account of his breaking up with a woman who later committed suicide happened in a much shorter period of time, with their separation occurring while he was taking care of personal business in North Carolina, not while he was in jail, he said.

She committed suicide by slashing her wrists, he said, not by hanging herself.

Also he admitted that all of the Smoking Gun stuff was correct as well. It is a pretty low thing to lie about things through the whole book and then pretend that it was true. He did say that the Smoking Gun was full of crap at the beginning and now he admits that they were spot on.

Wednesday, January 25, 2006

Tough Talk from both Sides on Iranian Nukes

It looks like we will at least have some sort of bipartisan effort when it comes to the possible use of force to stop the Iranians from going nuclear.

Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., said all options, including military force, should be on the table. But, he said that for now, the United States and European countries must do everything possible to secure the support of China and Russia to take Iran before the Security Council, and then stake out "a tough posture" that includes sanctions.

While from the right side of the isle:

Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., said diplomatic efforts must be exhausted before turning to the "last option," the use of force.
"There's only one thing worse than the United States exercising a military option, and that is Iran having nuclear weapons," the No. 2 Republican on the
Senate Armed Services Committee said on "Fox News Sunday."

I think we need to let the Israelis handle this one. We took out Iraq for them. They should work on Iran for us. The US should give them all the support they need. But let them get rid of the biggest threat to their safety and continued existence since the 1948 Arab-Israeli war.

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Ehud Olmert seems like a Dove

He is advocating more pullbacks.

"The choice between allowing Jews to live in all parts of the land of Israel and living in a state with a Jewish majority mandates giving up parts of the Land of Israel," Olmert said. "We cannot continue to control parts of the territories where most of the Palestinians live."

This will be *very* painful for the settlers who have fought and died for their homes in the West Bank. It seems they will be the odd man out when it comes to peace. I wonder if Israel will provide security for them going forward. Or will they just let them become part of this new Palestinian State. At least talk of forming that Palestinian State, which was all taboo a few years ago, seems common nowadays:

Olmert said Israel favors creation of a "modern Palestinian state." Referring to Wednesday's election of a new Palestinian parliament, Olmert hoped the Palestinians would not "choose again the extremists who have led them from tragedy to tragedy and to sorrowful lives."

I think Israel really needs some kind of peace plan with the Palestinians so they can focus on Iran. That is the real threat to their life and limb. Iran+Nukes=Middle Eastern Nuclear War.

Alito passes first Hurdle

I haven't been following his nomination but it seems he is passed the comittee and now he is headed for the full Senate.

On a party-line vote of 10-8, the committee sent the nomination of Alito to the 100-member Senate. The full chamber is to begin debate on Wednesday, with a confirmation vote as early as the end of this week.

He seems like he may be a pretty good bet to pass the full Senate as well unless the Dems fillibuster him. They seem to have objections about the Bush spying mess and not Alito judging by this statement:

Sen. Patrick Leahy of Vermont, the committee's top Democrat, said Bush was "claiming power to illegally spy on Americans, to allow actions that violate our values and laws protecting human rights, and to detain U.S. citizens and others on his say so."

"So I will not lend my support to an effort by this president to move the Supreme Court and the law radically to the right and to remove the final check within our democracy," Leahy said.

The Dems really need to tackle the spying mess in some other forum then this one. I have a feeling that if Alito gets in Roe vs. Wade will be numbered. All it takes is for one legislature to pass a law forbidding abortion and let the challenge get its way up to the Supreme Court and it becomes illegal in the US. And the more the Dems watch the spying mess the more the conservative wing of the Repubs will sneak the abortion ban past them.

Disney Okays Takeover of Pixar

This seems like a very good deal for Disney depending on how much they will be paying for Pixar:

Pixar shares closed at $58.27 on Monday on Nasdaq, putting its market value at just under $7 billion. The shares have risen about 12 percent in the last month, partly on speculation that Disney would buy the computer animation company that created such hits as "Toy Story," "Finding Nemo" and "The Incredibles."

I think CGI animated movies are the only way to go when it comes to making big money in this industry. All of those movies mentioned made a great deal of money and would make a great addition to Disneys library of marketable properties. Also they all have very easy sequel potential as well. Disney is really buying a great property here.

Booth Babes banned at 2006 E3Expo

This is a bad deal for all those guys that drooled over these hot women at the computer trade expos.

Rules prohibiting the use of scantily clad young women to peddle video games are nothing new, but the handbook for this year's show in May outlines tough new penalties, including a $5,000 fine on the spot for the booth owner if the "booth babe" is semi-clad.

That fine probably won't stop some companies from hiring hot women but they can't be scantly clad anymore. But it looks like Fantasy game makers could still dress up a woman in a chainmail bikini with a short skirt or have a sorceress wearing gauzy barely there robes.

The handbook from the Entertainment Software Association, the show's promoter, says: "Material, including live models, conduct that is sexually explicit and/or sexually provocative, including but not limited to nudity, partial nudity and bathing suit bottoms, are prohibited on the show floor, all common areas, and at any access points to the show."

Monday, January 23, 2006

Bad News for Blackberry

It looks like the Supreme Court is not going to look into the Blackberry case now and they might be cruising for a shutdown.

The high court rejected without comment a petition by Research In Motion Ltd. to review a federal appeals court ruling, which upheld infringement charges by NTP Inc., a U.S. patent holding company.

NTP Inc. said the court rejection had "closed the final path for RIM to avoid liability" in the case and cleared the way for a lower court to issue an injunction that would bar most U.S. BlackBerry sales and service.

Now RIMM needs to pay up or they will really feel the pinch when they have to shut their service down. I would quickly make alot of Crackberry addicts into Palm Pilot addicts.

Insurgents Turn Against Al-Quida

This seems to be a good development in Iraq.

"There was a meeting right after the bombings," one Ramadi resident familiar with the events said. "Tribal leaders and political figures gathered to form the Anbar Revolutionaries to fight al Qaeda in Anbar and force them to leave the province.

"Since then there has been all-out war between them," said the resident in the capital of the sprawling western desert province of Anbar, speaking anonymously for fear of reprisals.

I wonder if we are going to funnel weapons to the Anbar Revolutionaries now? I mean the enemy of my enemy is my friend and all that.

Ford is cutting to the bone

It looks like it would be inevitable judging from all the problems that the US auto makers are having. But this seems like a really deep cut though:

Ford Motor Co., the nation's second-largest automaker, said Monday that it will cut 25,000 to 30,000 jobs and close 14 facilities by 2012 as part of a restructuring designed to reverse a $1.6 billion loss last year in its North American operations.

The cuts represent 20 percent to 25 percent of Ford's North American work force of 122,000 people. Ford has approximately 87,000 hourly workers and 35,000 salaried workers in the region.

I wonder if those 14 closed facilities will be moved to someplace were wages are cheaper and there are no unions to cut into the bottom line? I think Eastern Europe will welcome the inflow of these American manufacturing jobs. I guess building a new auto plant is not a small investment so this wouldn't be too feasible though.

Thursday, January 19, 2006

France Talks tough when it comes to Nukes

Wow here is a flash of the French backbone that launched the Resistance.

"The leaders of states who would use terrorist means against us, as well as those who would consider using, in one way or another, weapons of mass destruction, must understand that they would lay themselves open to a firm and adapted response on our part," Chirac said at a northwestern nuclear submarine base.

"This response could be a conventional one. It could also be of a different kind," said Chirac, his most explicit linkage of a threat of a nuclear response to a terrorist attack.

Maybe France is wising up after all of the rioting that happened this summer. France knows it would be one of the softer targets when the Jihaddis strike next.

Wednesday, January 18, 2006

AMD swings to profit

Seems like they are taking market share from Intel and this profit number shows it. However I really like this number myself.

Revenue rose 45% to $1.84 billion, including sales of its Spansion flash-memory business, which AMD spun off in an initial public offering last month. Analysts polled by Thomson First Call expected AMD to chalk up revenue of $1.66 billion.

That is a record for this company. I was afraid that chip spending was going into the toilet after Intel warned of a slowing 2006 forcast.

Intel, which reported its results after financial markets closed on Tuesday, blamed a combination of events, including a chipset shortage, lower prices and a weakness in demand for desktop PCs.

But it seems that AMD taking market share from them may be some of the reason for them showing concern:

Intel also is facing its stiffest competition ever from Advanced Micro Devices Inc., whose chips have drawn praise for outperforming those of its much larger rival. AMD will report its fourth-quarter results on Wednesday.

"Competition is pretty fierce out there right now," said Intel Chief Financial Officer Andy Bryant, who added AMD probably gained market share at Intel's expense.

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

ABC cans "Emily's Reasons Why Not" after one showing

ABC sure doesn't fool around when it comes to the axe on a new show. The passed on this show after it drew just 6.2 million viewers. I wonder if they were thinking it was going to be the next Desperate Housewives or something. I was thinking of checking it out because Heather Graham is a good looking girl and I wanted to check out something she was in. I guess I won't be getting that chance now. This seems like the kind of series that Showtime or HBO should pick up and make into the next Sex in the City. I would turn in to watch a woman's show headlined by this woman:

Is God Mad at US?

According to Ray Nagin the Mayor of New Orleans He is!

"Surely God is mad at America. He sent us hurricane after hurricane after hurricane, and it's destroyed and put stress on this country," Nagin, who is black, said as he and other city leaders marked Martin Luther King Day.

"Surely he doesn't approve of us being in Iraq under false pretenses. But surely he is upset at black America also. We're not taking care of ourselves."

So he is saying that God the enforcer is killing innocent people (mostly poor and black) because we are in Iraq? Shouldn't God be punishing the so-called wicked by hitting the Red States with a rain of frogs or fire or something? When is Bush going to come down with a case of boils?

What did the Tsunami victims and the Pakistanis earthquake victims do? I guess God is mad at them for some prior unknown transgressions or possible invasions in their past.

Maybe God hated the so-called wicked and sinful nature of New Orleans and decided to put the deluge down on it. Kind of like Sodom and Gemorrah but with water instead of fire. Or perhaps Nagin isn't the kind of man that can understand the mind of God and try not to sound so much like Pat Robertson or Hal Lindsey:

But I believe there is another essential point being missed. Since America has forsaken the Christian principles on which our country was founded and on which all our founding documents were based, God's gracious protection that is so evident in American history is being withdrawn. We are also forcing God's people, Israel, into indefensible positions in the land God swore on oath to give them forever.

I believe unless there is a major national repentance, America is in for worse catastrophes than can possibly be imagined. God help us.

Yahoo Disappoints!

They really got clobbered after hours. Down 12%. I think missing the numbers slightly was bad but I think this may be worse:

Chief Financial Officer Susan Decker cautioned that during 2006 the company faced a smaller contribution from its Chinese business, rising traffic acquisition costs and the loss of its highly profitable business selling ads for Microsoft. Gross margins will decrease to 40 percent during the first quarter, she said.

Rising costs plus losing a big client will make for some tough times going forward. I wonder if the loss in value will bring MSFT to the deal making table. A Microsoft buyout of Yahoo would really make a splash I think.

Thursday, January 12, 2006

Oprah breaks silence about Million Easy Pieces

It seems that she is somewhat in favor of the theme of the book but doesn't acknowledge its falsehoods.

"What is relevant is that he was a drug addict ... And stepped out of that history to be the man he is today and to take that message to save other people and allow them to save themselves," Winfrey said Wednesday night in a surprise phone call to CNN's Larry King, who was interviewing Frey on his live television program.

That is kind of a backing but she doesn't acknowledge the actual false stuff in the book though. Also Frey's allegations of falsifying the book are no longer just allegations any more.

Frey, in his first interview since The Smoking Gun story came out, acknowledged he had embellished parts of the book but said that was common for memoirs and defended "the essential truth" of "A Million Little Pieces."

I guess it may be common since I don't really read too many memoirs. It just seems kind of shady that someone would make up such wild stories just to make his life sound better for some book. And since that book is such a massive best seller it is like he faked parts his life just for the cashola. Perhaps the truth is much more mundane then the fiction. Maybe he just drank a lot and passed out on his living room floor every night. We can't be sure anymore.

So it lessens the impact of what he was trying to get across. He was trying to give us a cautionary tale to make us say don't take drugs or if you do then you can recover and still lead a productive life. If the cautionary tale part is faked then the words ring as hollow as the "Say No To Drugs" crap that came out in the 80s.

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

FED says inflation "quite moderate"

I like this kind of talk from the FED myself:

Since fighting inflation is the U.S. Federal Reserve's top concern, investors interpreted the remarks by New York Fed President Timothy Geithner as another sign that the Fed might soon halt its year-plus streak of short-term interest rate hikes.

I guess we are really in the final inning of these rate hikes after all. Now we need some reassurances that housing prices don't go in the toilet and we will have a nice sustained rally.

A Million Little Pieces Author a fraud?

This is kind of junk if it is true. It seems that James Frey may have embellished his reminiscences according to some charges leveled by the Smoking Gun.

Central to Frey's book, published in 2003, is his assertion that he was charged with assaulting an Ohio police officer with his car, with inciting a riot, with possession of crack cocaine and felony drunk driving -- charges that he wrote resulted in a three-month prison term.

The Smoking Gun, owned by Court TV, reported that most of those claims were not borne out by police records or by interviews with police and court officials. The Web site published the police officer's report of the key 1992 incident which shows Frey was found drunk in his car without a driver's license but did not, as he wrote, serve time the incident or behave in the outrageous manner portrayed in his book.

These seem to be pretty serious charges if they are true and Doubleday is offering a refund for everyone who bought the book directly from the publisher. This is another case of the internet (not the blogosphere unfortunately) finding potential fraud where the main stream media fears to tread. In years past this kind of investigative journalism would be done by 20/20 or some other news show and not by some web page.

I wonder why this is? Is there too much money involved or would it be the wrath of the Oprah that keeps them from looking into things like this? It seems that Doubleday is owned by Bertelsmann AG which seems to have no connection to Oprah at all. However lots of the books on her Book club list seem to come from Doubleday or from Random House which is another Bertelsmann subsidiary. I didn't check them all but many of these Book Club books are Doubleday or Random House books.

Perhaps the main stream media didn't want to upset a good thing by looking too deeply into an Oprah Book Club book. I mean the Oprah Book Club has been quite a boon to the publishing industry providing a much needed boost to their bottom line. It has also made people interested in reading that may not be interested normally. The Book Club seems to serve the same purpose as the Harry Potter books do for younger readers. It has made people read a book instead of watching TV or partaking in one of the millions of distractions we have out there.

Perhaps too much investigation into the facts surrounding one these books will upset that sort of thing. So the MSM takes a pass while the internet (which really has nothing to lose) goes after it with abandon. I wonder if Oprah is going to come out for or against this Frey guy?

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

MSFT and Mac ink 5 year deal

This should be a good deal for both companies I think.

"We've had many years of success with Office for Mac, and this formal commitment confirms that we're in the Mac business for the long haul," said Tom Gibbons, Microsoft vice president of Consumer Productivity eXperience, in a statement.

I wonder if this new Office for Mac is going to be a better fit now that Macs are using Intel chips in them.

Iran Removes the Seals

It looks like Iran is taking advantage of Ariel Sharon's illness and removed the seals on their uranium enrichment equipment. I don't think Israel will stand for another nuclear power in the Middle East for any period of time. And it looks like we may be stepping in as well:

"If the regime in Iran continues on the current course and fails to abide by its international obligations, there is no other choice but to refer the matter to the Security Council," White House press secretary Scott McClellan said.

Also it looks like Germany and France are going to condemn in the strongest possible terms but do almost nothing again:

French President Jacques Chirac warned Iran it would commit a serious mistake if it ignored the international community on its nuclear program.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Iran was sending "worrying signals" on the nuclear issue.

The key is what the Security Council is going to do. I have my money on slap on the wrist and Iran getting the bomb in about 5 years or so. Then we will have an Iran/Israel hot war soon afterward. Maybe even an nuclear exchange between the two powers.

Monday, January 09, 2006

Herm Edwards in as Coach of Kansas City

Seems like a pretty good move from the Kansas City team and it should be a great fit for Edwards.

Herman Edwards was hired as coach of the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday, replacing the retired Dick Vermeil and inheriting a team that barely missed the playoffs.

The Chiefs will give Edwards' former team, the New York Jets, a fourth-round draft pick as compensation. Edwards still had two years left on his contract with New York.

He leaves a battered Jets club that where he seemed to be on the bubble of being fired from and goes to a club that barely missed the playoffs. That KC squad is packed with talent and just needs to improve its defense before they become contenders. It also seems that the KC front office might stick with Edwards even though the team doesn't do so well also.

Vermeil retired after going 44-36 in five years but reached the playoffs only once and did not get past the first game.

That means they will have the patience it will take to make the team into a contender. With all the fire-happy teams in the league that patience is a real luxury. I like Edwards too and I am looking forward to watching the KC Chiefs next year.

Toys-R-Us beaten by Wal-Mart; cuts stores and staff

It looks like Toys-R-Us is finally going to succumb to the Wal-Mart effect:

Toy retailer Toys R Us Inc. on Monday said it will close 75 Toys "R" Us stores in the United States and convert 12 others into Babies "R" Us stores, eliminating about 3,000 jobs.

Those piles of low priced toys that Wal-Mart pushes for that low-low price has finally driven Toys-R-Us to cut back stores and fire some workers. This is right after the most profitable part of their financial calendar too. At least they are latching onto the Babies-R-Us concept pretty well though. I think this may still pull in some good money for the moment.

It may be a losing business in the long term though. It seems people are having less children and much of that baby stuff could be carried by Wal-Mart for cheaper as well. Wal-Mart seems to be a kind of company that a consumer can go back to for their entire lifetime. The consumers parent buys them baby stuff, then toys, then video games, then school stuff, then clothing, and then the grown consumer does the same for their family.

Babies-R-Us is only useful for about a year and then the parents go to Wal-Mart to shop. Oh well, I hear that they have pretty good margins there and it brings in decent revenue growth for Toys-R-Us so they are still able to compete in that space.

Marcus Vick Arrested for Pulling a Gun

Now this really is a QB flushing his career down the toilet.

Police said the parents of a 17-year-old boy reported that Vick pointed a weapon at their son and two others during an altercation at a McDonald's in Suffolk, a southeastern Virginia city where Vick's mother lives, Sunday night.

If convicted of all three counts, Vick could be sentenced to up to three years in jail and a $7,500 fine, police spokeswoman Lt. Debbie George said in a statement.

He had an almost sure chance of making it in the NFL and now he is the next Maurice Clarett.

Hostel wins Box Office Wars

I didn't think this film would do as well as this. The movie cost less then 5 million and it has already grossed 20.1 million. I think the horror movie genre will really get some added traction with these kinds of numbers. I wonder if this movie has the legs to do $100 million numbers? If it does then we will really see a rash of splatter movies on the horizon.

Dow cracks 11000

Good looking broad based rally we are seeing here. The Janurary effect is in full swing and the market is going pretty good so far.

Friday, January 06, 2006

Getting a 5% yield

This seems like sensible advice to get a relatively risk-free 5% yield. It is strange that he doesn't list those inflation protected TIPS though. I guess that paragraph got cut or something.

Vick Booted off of VT

Wow VT sure doesn't fool around when it comes to disciplining its players. They actually kicked their star player off of the team for doing this:

On Friday, it was revealed that Vick had been stopped for speeding and driving with a revoked or suspended license in Hampton on Dec. 17, Cpl. James West said. Vick's license had been taken away in August 2004 when he was cited for reckless driving and marijuana possession in New Kent County.

If they kicked every player that was stopped for speeding with a revoked license off of the team then Florida would field a skeleton crew.

Thursday, January 05, 2006

Tom DeLay hung out to dry

It looks like he may not be the majority leader when he comes back:

"I would not support him for majority leader," Rep. Ray LaHood told Reuters in a telephone interview from his central Illinois district.

"We need to clean up our House here very quickly or a year from now we'll be the minority party," said LaHood, initially elected to Congress in 1994 when his party won control of the House for the first time in 40 years.

And these are very apt words as well. I have a feeling that if the Repubs don't start flying right they will lose the Senate and maybe the House as well. And they cannot afford to have DeLay in there fighting in court while he is trying to keep their majority. His focus will be too divided to make sure they hold on to their majority. The Pres can't help them because he seems to be more hated then loved right now. They need a strong leader that is 100% focused on the goal.

Wednesday, January 04, 2006

Lindsay Lohan admits Drug use and being on the Vomit Diet

Ah all my speculation way back when were true. She admits to all this stuff in the new issue of Vanity Fair.

"I was making myself sick. I was sick and I had people sit me down and say 'You're going to die if you don't take care of yourself,"' she said in the magazine's latest issue, which hit newsstands on Wednesday.

Lohan said she used drugs "a little" but quickly tried to retract the admission and denied that she had taken cocaine. "I don't want people to think that I've done ... you know what I mean? It's kind of a sore subject," she said.

Sharon sent to ICU

It looks like the end could be near for the Prime Minister of Israel.

Prime Minister Ariel Sharon underwent brain surgery after suffering a life-threatening stroke with doctors working through the night to stop "massive bleeding." Hadassah Hospital Director Mor-Yosef said he was transferred to intensive care Thursday with stable vital signs.

I wonder what kind of guy this person is:

Sharon's official powers were transferred to his deputy, Ehud Olmert, who chaired a special Cabinet session Thursday

Is he a force for peace or something else entirely? Or is he just a place holder guy for some other person to come into power.

Splatter Movies back in Vogue

It looks like the low-budget Horror movie is making a comeback. I think this is a great idea as well. I think we have had too much of the wink-wink Scream style horror movies. I was brought up on good old fashioned splatter movie era myself. But with todays special effects and makeup we can really have some great gore-fests now. I am looking forward to catching the movie Hostel when it comes out on Netflix. I'll review it when it does.

Ariel Sharon has Big Stroke

Bad news from the Middle East.

Dr. Shlomo Mor-Yosef, director of Hadassah Hospital in Jerusalem, said Sharon suffered "a significant stroke," adding that he was "under anesthetic and receiving breathing assistance." A few minutes later, Mor-Yosef emerged to say that initial tests showed Sharon had suffered a cerebral hemorrhage, or bleeding in his brain.

This is going to be a serious blow to that centrist Kadima party that they were trying to start in Israel. I wonder if this will usher in a reactionary like Netanyahu his fractured Likud party. Sharon looked like he could lead that Kadima party into some Israeli acceptable peace terms with the Palestinian. Now everything is up for grabs.

Tuesday, January 03, 2006

TCU Freshmen Kicker Killed

Oh wow now this is weird news.

TCU freshman kicker Kasey Davis was shot to death early Tuesday, his body found in his car by police in the parking lot of an apartment complex.

The 20-year-old player had a gunshot wound to his chest and was pronounced dead at the hospital, police said.

Police arrested a suspect near the apartment minutes after getting a description from witnesses. Jeffrey Clay Lasiter had a rifle in the front seat of his car when he was pulled over.

My friend thinks that this was because TCU was able to cover the spread on that game. TCU was favored by 2 and that kick won that game for everyone betting on TCU. Perhaps this Lasiter character was representing shady underworld characters betting on Iowa St. who had paid the kicker to miss that field goal. He made the FG and thus became a big target for these people. I think someone should do a study on this kind of stuff.

Thursday, December 29, 2005

The new IMeat?

This is a funny story from here in Hawaii. I have shopped at the Mililani Wal-Mart quite a bit but I never thought they would be selling meat in an Ipod box. I wonder what type of meat it was and if it came from Apple. This article says this:

Cambra says the box was sealed and that it didn't appear to have been tampered with when she brought it home from the Honolulu Wal-Mart where she works.

She says she had put the iPod on layaway so that she could afford the device's hefty $300 price tag.


"I know what I went through to get this for him," said an incensed Cambra. "To open up and find this? I don't know what to say."


"This" appeared to be some kind of sealed fish or meat product, certainly not a state-of-the-art MP3 player.


I think this is Apples new way of getting into the sealed food business.

WIFI matches Ethernet Speed

We may be entering the non cabled age at last.

Wireless networks may be convenient to set up, but wired ethernet has always been faster. Now a new generation of Wi-Fi products is challenging ethernet's superiority for high-bandwidth apps. We sampled some of the first of these Wi-Fi products--Netgear's $180 RangeMax 240 Wireless Router and $100 Notebook Adapter--and found that at close range, even with encryption enabled, data speeds were only a little bit slower than on a standard 10/100 megabits-per-second ethernet network.

Audit Finds FEMA Corrupt

It looks like FEMA needs a real overhaul here.

"When one considers that FEMA's programs are largely administered through grants and contracts, the circumstances created by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita provides an unprecedented opportunity for fraud, waste, and abuse," the report said.

It said while Homeland Security was taking steps to manage spending for Katrina, the size of the response and recovery efforts created "an unprecedented need for oversight."

The bad thing is that they were not prepared for a natural disaster of that magnitude even in a worse case scenerio form. Lack of planning just shows that the people at the top of FEMA were incompitent and shouldn't have had that job in the first place. They should have a plan for any possible disaster that happens in the US. If a meteor hits in NW Ohio they should just pull out a folder and put the plan into place. I wonder if they have a plan for another terrorist attack? Probably not depending on the idiots running the ship.

Windows WMF Flaw Found not Patched Yet

This one looks bad because they can execute the code simply from going to the website and currently there is no patch or workaround. I'm staying in the corporate part of the internet until they can get this thing patched.

The attacks can be carried out thanks to a newly discovered vulnerability in those operating systems' handling of corrupted.WMF (Windows Metafile) graphic files, the firms said.

The firms describe the exploit as "zero day," because malicious hackers are taking advantage of it while there is no patch or certified workaround against the vulnerability.

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

JK Rowling Starts on last Harry Potter

Well she just started on the last book in the series with Harry 17 I think. I wonder if he is going to get a girlfriend in this one. It would give the story an interesting dynamic. I also think Ron and Hermoine will get romantically involved in this one as well.

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Mild Winter Bad for Natural Gas

Hmm it looks like the fear that people will be seeing sky-high heating oil and natural gas bills is starting to fade. I wonder if consumers will be using that cash to buy more crapola though. It will be interesting to see the retailers numbers next week though. This Christmas seemed pretty busy as far as I could tell.

Yield Curve Inverts Recession Imminent?

It looks like hte yield curve inverted today and it smacked-down stocks. This is interesting news:

Such an unusual event typically has foreshadowed a noticeable economic downturn. Usually, a recession has followed.

Despite the warning signs in the Treasury market, however, few economists expect a recession in the next year. This time, they say, things are different.

This time will be different? I'm not so sure about that. The yield curve only inverted once and there was no recession. Here is when:

The yield curve briefly inverted in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis -- the only time in the past 30 years that an inverted yield curve has not preceded a recession.

One time in 30 years isn't anything to bank on. It may be time to be vigilant in the market and start hedging your stocks well.

Thursday, December 22, 2005

John Whitehead claims Spitzer is a mean bastard

Wow, now these really are some fighting words if they are true. Here is what Spitzer supposedly told him:

"Mr. Whitehead, it's now a war between us and you've fired the first shot," Whitehead quoted Spitzer as angrily stating.

"I will be coming after you. You will pay the price. This is only the beginning and you will pay dearly for what you have done. You will wish you had never written that letter," Whitehead claimed Spitzer said.


The letter he refers to is an op-ed piece that talks bad about Spitzer. If what he said is true through it sounds like the kind of thing an evil overlord says to the hero in some fantasy novel. "You will pay dearly for what you have done!" Maybe Spitzer and Voldemort from the Harry Potter novels are one and the same?

Wednesday, December 21, 2005

Kerkorian Bails out of GM

It looks like the stock may be going down the toilet here soon. This is what he has just did with a little tax losses offsetting gains smokescreen attached:

Kerkorian disclosed in a regulatory filing Tuesday that his sale of 12 million GM shares generated a loss that would be used to offset gains elsewhere in his investment company's portfolio for tax purposes.

This is how much he is down in the stock already:

Kerkorian spent about $1.7 billion to build a 9.9 percent stake in GM this year. But he's now about $600 million in the red, counting the almost $110 million loss on the sale of the 12 million shares and the reduced value of his remaining 7.8 percent stake.

Wow, $600 million in paper losses should make even a billionaire sick to his stomach. He couldn't get his guy on their board either so he may be bailing out on the whole mess. Could a bankruptcy filing be in the cards? Even though everyone from the CEO on down has denied it?

If you are conspiracy minded then Kerkorian had heard a little something from his people in and around GM and is pulling out as fast as is prudent. Or maybe he just doesn't have faith in the guys running GM and since he can't get his people in there he is taking his loss like a man. Either way the stock will probably be in for a lot more bruising going forward.

RIMM Beats Street

RIMM seems to be hitting on all cylinders dispite the looming threat of a shutdown.

Net income rose to $120.1 million, or 61 cents per share, from $90.4 million, or 46 cents per share. Revenue rose 53 percent to $560.5 million from $365.9 million and was above analysts' forecasts of $549 million.

Adjusted net income of 71 cents per share topped the 65-cent mean estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial.

They gave the numbers a pretty bad beat and that revenue growth looks pretty good as well. The CEO seemed pretty pumped up as well:

"The business is really soaring. It's not just doing OK. It's soaring," James L. Balsillie, RIM's chairman and CEO told The Associated Press in an interview. "A lot of people have said `Wow, I thought it was all kind of tough,' but we've been telling everybody sales are fine."

They may have some subscriber problems due to the possible shutdown and they forcasted that number to be lower in the 4th quarter. If they settle those problems then it will be like a weight got lifted off of the stock. Seems like a decent time to put this guy back on the watchlist.

2006 Could be a Good Year to Invest

It seems like we will have a pretty decent year in 2006 according to this article. They say that the GDP growth numbers will be slightly less next year. Also profits may be a bit down as well. Other then that it seems pretty rosy since the FED will probably finish tightening by spring. Here is what has them worrying though:

A sharp dropoff in housing activity and home prices may not be the expected scenario, but it is at the top of most forecasters' worry lists of what could go wrong in the economy in 2006. So is the price of oil. Its ups and downs could be either a positive or a negative for growth. Any sharp swing out of the range of $45 to $70 per barrel would affect growth and overall inflation.

Throw in concerns about a possible plunge in the dollar, shrinking foreign capital inflows, and new acts of domestic terrorism, and you have enough in the mix to make any investor queasy.

Bullets Fly and Knives Brandished at Notorious BIG party

Wow now this is some kind of launch party for the new Duets album that is coming out with people singing with the rapper from beyond the grave. The whole idea of an album with people singing along with a dead guy is weird and sure enough gunfire crackled and knives were drawn at this party:

Police said that at 3:10 a.m. patrol officers heard gunfire at a parking garage near the club. Inside, they found three men with gunshot wounds; all were taken to the hospital in stable condition.

Moments later, police received a 911 call reporting a stabbing at the club. Officers found three victims — two men who were slashed in the face and one who was stabbed in the stomach; all were hospitalized.

I wonder why the people were stabbed and shot in groups of three? That seems almost ritualistic. Perhaps they were West Coast rappers or hangers-on shot and stabbed by the Ghost of Notorious BIG? Are Tupac and Biggie continuing their West-Coast vs. East Coast war from beyond the grave? Now that would be nuts.

Tuesday, December 20, 2005

Intelligent Design dealt a Deathblow by Judge

It looks like Evolution won out against all comers today.

A federal judge on Tuesday banned the teaching of intelligent design as an alternative to evolution by Pennsylvania's Dover Area School District, saying the practice violated the constitutional ban on teaching religion in public schools.

I guess this is a good deal. I don't see what is wrong with teaching some kind of religion in public school though. They could have an optional religion elective that goes through the various kinds of religion and their history and beliefs. Since it is an optional elective then anti-God types can just have their kids take basketweaving or something instead. They may already have something like this but they didn't when I was in public school in the 90s.

Iran Fights Back Against Music Ban

It looks like the common Iranian doesn't care too much for Ahmadinejads stupid ban on their music.

"This president speaks as if he is living in the Stone Age. This man has to understand that he can't tell the people what to listen to and what not to listen to," said Mohammed Reza Hosseinpour as he browsed through a Tehran music shop.

I wonder if the AP is putting this man in danger though. The secret police can round up Mr. Hosseinpour and put a bullet in the back of his head out in some wild and empty place. They should have used the words Iranian music buyer instead of his full name. Whatever the case Mr. Hosseinpour is a pretty brave dude for talking to the press like this and badmouthing their insane leader.

Friday, December 16, 2005

Nick and Jessica File for Divorce

It looks like it is final. The two "Newlyweds" are headed for divorce court. I guess when you turn off the camera Simpson didn't seem all that appealing anymore. I mean she is barely mentally coherent and is totally controlled by her father. She can barely keep an adult conversation going.

And with Ashlee Simpson cracking up in Tokyo. The plans Joe Simpson had for building a Simpson Empire are beginning to fall apart. Jessica will still get some bad movie rolls but I don't think Ashlee is ever going to live down her SNL Lipsink and Jig episode. I wonder if we will still hear about either one this time next year?

West Wings Leo died

This sure was a sudden development. John Spencer the guy that played Leo on the West Wing died of a heart attack at the age of 58. I wonder what will happen to the new episodes of West Wing now. Will his character actually die or will he be written out of the show in some other way. It is a sad story but it will be interesting to see how it is handled.

Google to buy 5% stake in AOL

Hmm this is a strange deal for AOL to make.

"Why would Time Warner shareholders be happy sharing some of AOL ownership?" asked Blake Warner, an investment banker at Thomas Weisel Partners. "What does AOL suffer from? It suffers from a declining dial-up subscriber base. Time Warner is still stuck with that."

Unless Google comes up with a solution that fixes the migration of AOL subscribers to the broadband offerings of other access providers, it's unclear what Time Warner shareholders stand to gain, he said.

Perhaps this could be a good faith thing so Google can get in the door before MSFT. So it is like a $1 billion dollar payment with an option to buy the company in the future. I think things could be really heating up for Time Warner before too long.

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Tough Talk from Morgan Freeman

He really raises some interesting issues with this 60 minutes interview. This is what he said:

"You're going to relegate my history to a month?" the 68-year-old actor says in an interview on CBS' "60 Minutes" to air Sunday (7 p.m. EST). "I don't want a black history month. Black history is American history."

He also goes on to say:

Freeman notes there is no "white history month," and says the only way to get rid of racism is to "stop talking about it."

The actor says he believes the labels "black" and "white" are an obstacle to beating racism.

"I am going to stop calling you a white man and I'm going to ask you to stop calling me a black man," Freeman says.

Yup, if we get away from the labels we will eventually see everyone as just Americans. Sometimes the words "white and black" carry some of the baggage of racism. Nowadays something like a "White History Month" could only be seen as something that would exclude other races. I can already hear the cries of racism pointed toward a person advocating such a month.

So a black history month *could* be thought of as doing the same. In other words providing a history month that excludes other Americans points out that they are singled out from other Americans. So their history could be misinterpreted as separate from everyone else's.

They should have a shared history because they do have a shared history. And thus they should be included with all the other races living in the US with an American History Month. Such a month should go through the entire American experience warts and all. Celebrate building the Panama Canal and the going to war for Europe but at the same time denigrate the killing of the Indians and Slavery. So it would go from Americas highest highs and then our lowest lows and everything in between. We should be honoring all of us and not just singling out one group or the other for whatever reason.

Retailers Not so Hot this Holiday Season

It looks like consumers are playing chicken with the retailers again according to this article. It looks like heating bills may be the culprits this time around:

HereÂ’s the bottom line: So far the retail picture has been a decidedly mixed bag. Consumers are spending, but stores have had to rely on heavy discounting. After what could be described, at best, as a decent start to the holiday season, indications are that sales have already started to tail off. The last few days leading up to Christmas will be critical. Unfortunately for retailers, this will come immediately after many consumers receive their first winter heating bills. Sticker shock could lead people to lower their thermostats on holiday spending, leaving many retailers out in the cold.

I'm not sure if this will be the case though. I think Americans will still be able to buy what they want this holiday season. They will probably tighten somewhere else instead. I wonder what the statistics are about heating oil usage this year? People could be using less oil or just heating one room to save money like the Europeans.

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Bush Offers a Mea Culpa on Iraq

Well it looks like he is finally owning up that the pre-war intelligence was junk and we went to war using the wrong cover story. He says:

"It is true that much of the intelligence turned out to be wrong. As president I am responsible for the decision to go into Iraq, and I am also responsible for fixing what went wrong by reforming our intelligence capabilities and we're doing just that," he said

So he is finally owning up to what went wrong. I guess that makes him a stand-up guy. This part I agree with also:

But he said, "My decision to remove Saddam Hussein was the right decision" because he was deemed a threat and that regardless, "We are in Iraq today because our goal has always been more than the removal of a brutal dictator."

I thought this should have been the focus from the very beginning. Remove the brutal dictator so you can put other brutal dictators on notice that the US may come after them. Then they should have had the propaganda blitz focus on Saddams atrocities and finding evidence of them.
In other words go from the weapon inspectors to the forensic pathologists searching for evidence of atrocities. Do it under the guise of helping the Iraqis find their missing relatives or something similar.

They could have made this switch at the very beginning and downplayed the WMDs. Now switching the tune 3 years in just shows that the White House did not have the spin mechanism that Clinton had. It seems that a democratic Iraq could come out of all this. And if it does it will be one of the greatest good deeds in US history.

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Best Buy misses numbers

BBY missed by 2 cents and wow their stock get a real haircut today. Here is the reason:

Best Buy Co. Inc. has been adding personal shoppers, business experts, and home theater installers so it could focus on its most profitable customers. But its hiring spree dragged third-quarter profits down by 7 percent, and on Tuesday Best Buy trimmed its full-year forecast.

I guess going after their big dollar customers has hurt the bottom line quite badly. I guess trying to shoehorn personal shoppers and such into such a low margin business like electronics was the recipe for disaster. It seems that some other companies can get away with this extra service quite well. I guess when people buy a $399.99 PC they don't care where they buy it from or how good the extra service is.

I mean most of the time a person's children/friends can be as good as the Geek Squad, businesses know what they want, and most people can install a home theater quite easily. Also personal shoppers are for people that shop at Neiman Marcus and not for people looking to buy some DVDs and an Ipod for Christmas.

Fed Raises Rates Again

It looks like they are near the end of the tightening cycle though. They also did this:

In a statement outlining its widely expected step, the Fed dropped an oft-repeated description of policy as accommodative, or stimulative -- acknowledging that rates have risen to more-normal levels from an emergency low of 1 percent hit in mid-2003.

It looks like we are finally in the 8th or 9th inning judging by them dropping the language. This should be good for the stock market going forward.

Monday, December 12, 2005

Britain sure has a Tough Death Tax

Wow talk about weird stuff. This guy put a bet down to hedge against paying an inheritance tax of 3000 pounds. He is 91 so they gave him 6/1 odds that he would die. So if he did take the dirt nap he would have that tax bill covered.

It is a funny story but it makes something like a death tax sound downright evil. A 91 year old man shouldn't have to take out a contract on his own life so his 85 year old wife doesn't have to live in the street. And the idea that if he can't come up with 3000 pounds he needs to stay alive at all costs. I guess that is what insurance (or in this case a bookmaker) is for.

GM Circling the Toilet

It seems that S&P thinks that GM is in danger of bankruptcy.

"At this juncture, it's our conclusion that this isn't a far-fetched possibility if the kind of deterioration in results we've seen over the last few quarters should continue," Sprinzen said.

It seems that they may also spin off the GMAC financing arm.

The developing status reflects the possibility that GM may sell a controlling stake in GMAC to a highly rated financial institution, in which case its investment-grade rating could be restored, S&P said.

If GM does not sell a majority stake in GMAC, GMAC's ratings would be lowered to the level of GM's, Sprinzen said. S&P has long rated GM and GMAC the same because of the control GM has over GMAC and because their businesses are intertwined.

That should be a nice item for a big bank to run. It would seem to take in quite a bit of money and is one of the better run parts of GM. I'm hoping Citigroup gets it. They seem to be good at running consumer banking type products.

Joss Stone Best Dog Owner

This is a nice thing for an 18 year old dog owner to be named.

Stone, who has a poodle named Dusty Springfield, volunteered for the North Shore Animal League America after seeing images of pets stranded in the aftermath of hurricanes Katrina and Wilma, said The New York Dog and The Hollywood Dog magazines.

While Paris Hilton is the worst dog owner.

"First she loses Tinkerbell, then she ditches her for a cuter dog, then replaces that dog with a ferret, then a kinkajou monkey and then, I gather, a goat," Padgett said in a statement. "Recently Tinkerbell was spotted back in Paris' arms. But how long will she be in favor this time?"

I feel sorry for Tinkerbell. It sounds like a bad relationship. First she loses the dog then she ditches her for a ferret and then she comes back to the dog again. I think Tinkerbell needs to get into some therapy.

Schwarzenegger denys Clemency

He told Tookie "your fired." Then he lights a cigar and laughes heartily while Tookie is blown up in the background. It looks like Tookie is going to face the death house here. I guess he shouldn't have done this:

Williams was condemned in 1981 for gunning down a clerk in a convenience store holdup and a mother, father and daughter in a motel robbery weeks later. Williams claimed he was innocent.

He has been good with anti-gang stuff but he still needs to pay up for his crimes though. He seems like a stand-up guy too:

"Me fearing what I'm facing, what possible good is it going to do for me? How is that going to benefit me?" Williams said in a recent interview. "If it's my time to be executed, what's all the ranting and raving going to do?"

Xbox 360 will be Scarcer

MSFT may be blowing its chance to lead the market by not having enough Xbox 360 machines ready to go. It looks like they are starting to sell out all over the world now.

We knew we had one of the hottest products for the holidays on our hands but even I was stunned by reports the next morning of fights breaking out and guns being drawn," Moore said.
As a result, the
Xbox 360 has become one of the hottest products on the eBay online auction site.

"The hunt for the 360 seems to be a keen sport now. We are replenishing the channels every week and a lot of retailers, quite frankly, took more preorders than they had stock coming in and they are only now fulfilling those. So for the consumers in Europe and the U.S. who think they can just walk up and buy one, I don't know when that is going to happen."

Um, Mr. Moore you should have knew this was going to happen. The video game industry has been stagnate for about a year now. There hasn't been a Tickle-Me Elmo or Furby this holiday season. Of course the new latest and greatest game system will sell like hotcakes.

All I can say is that they better have a ton of them ready to go by January when people use up their gift cards. If they don't they may really miss the boat and the Sony PS3 will eat their lunch again. It is good to see this though:

Among those inconvenienced by the shortage has been Steve Ballmer, Microsoft's chief executive officer. Ballmer said last week that his children had yet to get an Xbox 360 because he hadn't been able to buy one and Sarbanes-Oxley rules prevented him from getting a free console.

"He's right, he's a section 16 officer that operates under Sarbanes-Oxley," said Moore. "I can't give him one, even if I had one, because he can't accept it and I don't think he pre-ordered it from our local BestBuy, which he lives pretty close to, so Steve is [out of luck] right now."
"I'm sure the Ballmer boys aren't happy with that because he has to get in line at retail like everybody else," said Moore. "He can come to my house if he needs games to play."


Wow even the CEOs son can't get his hands on an Xbox 360.

Bin Laden May by out of the loop

It looks like experts believe that Bin Laden may no longer be at the helm of al-Qaida and is in deep hiding in that North Waziristan region. This is kind of intriguing though:

Turki, a former director of the Saudi intelligence service, said he believes bin Laden is alive but there is some question about whether he still leads al-Qaida. Bin Laden has not been heard from since an audiotape released in December 2004.

He believes he's alive but hasn't released an audiotape for an entire year. I mean they seem to have tape recorders so I wonder why he doesn't release a statement of some kind. I really have a feeling that he is dead but the intelligence guys can't be sure so they are erring on the side of Bin Laden alive. They don't want to be surprised by a Bin Laden coming back from the dead like a zombie. This was interesting too:

The al-Qaida No. 2 was last heard from on a tape that surfaced Sunday, urging all Muslims to take up arms and saying a refusal to join the fight against Jews and Christians would lead to the defeat of militant Islam.

He said the global Islamic community had "no hope for victory" until all Muslims signed on to the al-Qaida-led jihad. His comments were contained in a 48-minute tape entitled "Impediments to Jihad."

These killers seem kind of demoralized here. If *all* Muslims don't rise up then they will have no hope for victory? So it looks like they could be whistling before the gallows. They have already pissed off the Jordanians with their Islamic wedding bombing. The Pakistanis want them dead because they tried to ice their leader.

Iraq seems to be slipping away with new elections and the security forces coming on line. When the "crusaders" leave who are they going to blow up? The US will leave no matter what happens as well. The political cost is way too high to keep troops in Iraq for more then a few more years at most. It is just a matter of leaving in strength with a democratic Iraq in our wake. Or sneaking out the back door while leaving a brewing civil war behind us. Either way we are out of there by the next election at least. So I guess al-Qaida can go back to blowing up wedding parties and hapless-Muslims again.

Paramount to buy out Dreamworks

It looks like the Shrek-makers have gone to:

Paramount Pictures agreed to buy the independent film studio for $775 million in cash. It will also assume $825 million in debt and other obligations, company officials said Sunday.

Sounds like Paramount is only getting their film library and the right to distribute the animated movies for 7 years. It also seems that NBC may have dropped the ball on this one:

Paramount put its offer together just last week, after DreamWorks had been discussing terms with NBC Universal, a unit of General Electric Co., for nine months.

NBC Universal made an offer in September, then reduced it at the last minute. That angered Geffen, who said he was still talking to NBC Universal as late as Friday before finally accepting the Paramount offer.

I wonder why they reduced the deal at the last minute? I guess it could have been because of the dropoff in DVD sales that Dreamworks has been having. So the bean counters may have cost them this deal. It really seems that NBC is crapping out on at full force.

Friday, December 09, 2005

Picture of Me for Blogspot

Here is a picture of me I want to change to use for my profile:

Child Murders Shock Japan

Wow this is some scary stuff about kids being killed Japan.

Armed policemen patrol streets on the way to school, education officials draw up safety maps and young students carry alarms to call for help in an emergency. A spate of grisly crimes targeting schoolchildren has horrified Japan and dealt a serious blow to its image as a safe country for children.

Here is what has got the officials horrified:

On Nov. 22, the strangled body of 7-year-old Airi Kinoshita was discovered taped inside a box on a parking lot in Hiroshima in southwestern Japan.
On Dec. 2, Yuki Yoshida, also 7, was found stabbed to death in a forest northeast of Tokyo.

The first killing generated fevered coverage in Japanese media when a Peruvian immigrant was arrested, fanning growing fears that increasing numbers of foreigners are responsible for rising crime.

No arrests have been made in the second killing.

I guess the Japanese need to be more vigilant when it comes to their kids. You don't know what kind of lurking crazies are out there.

Iranian Leader is Nuts

It looks like he is a holocaust denier as well as wanting to destroy Israel. I think he needs to read a history book as well:

Iran's official news agency IRNA quoted Ahmadinejad as saying of the Nazi Holocaust "Some European countries insist on saying that Hitler killed millions of innocent Jews in furnaces..."

"Although we don't accept this claim, if we suppose it is true, our question for the Europeans is: is the killing of innocent Jewish people by Hitler the reason for their support to the occupiers of Jerusalem?" he said.

"If the Europeans are honest they should give some of their provinces in Europe -- like in Germany, Austria or other countries -- to the Zionists and the Zionists can establish their state in Europe."

Yup he forgot to mention the gas chambers there. I think he was fantasizing about putting Jews in furnaces and got confused. I wonder if he used air quotes to say innocent Jews as well?

Also take a look at the tortured logic of saying if the holocaust happened then the Europeans need to take the Jews out of their ancient homeland. Give them some land in Germany or Austria and anywhere but Israel. I think this idiot needs to get an Hellfire missile assassination courtesy of the IDF.

Thursday, December 08, 2005

Motorola Well Positioned for Growth

It seems this analyst is seeing consolidation coming down the pike in the wireless handheld business. He says:

Motorola is "well-positioned to benefit" as the complexity of handset technology increases and research and development becomes more important. The trend will favor companies with sufficient scale to fund in-house R&D such as Motorola. "This will likely raise the bar for others in the industry and result in continued consolidation though more from 'natural selection' than mergers and acquisitions," the analyst said.

It seems that their inhouse R&D is doing a good job at least when it comes to innovative new products. The RAZR phone seems like a real must have gadget. Their design arm is really cutting edge as far as I can see. I just like how they are taking market share away from rivals. This guys raised targets seem quite doable too:

Um raised Motorola's 2006 earnings estimate to $1.31 per share from $1.26, and raised the 2007 estimate to $1.52 from $1.39, citing increased estimates for global handset-unit shipments and market-share gains made by Motorola. The analyst raised the global handset-unit-shipments estimate for 2006 to 881 million from 851 million, and raised the estimate for 2007 to 949 million from 903 million.

The analyst raised the price target on Motorola to $30 from $27, and reiterated a "buy" rating on the company.

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Kerkorian may join GMs board

This should be good news for the beleaguered automaker. Kirk has already lost a bundle on paper and he needs to do something to make that money back.

Analysts have said Kerkorian's presence on the board could lead to drastic restructuring measures such as plant closings and job cuts, in part because his shares have lost so much value. When Kerkorian acquired 18.9 million shares in June, he paid $31 apiece. On Tuesday, GM shares were up 65 cents to close at $23.04 on the New York Stock Exchange. They have traded in a 52-week range of $20.60 to $40.82.

So it looks like he has lost about $151 million on paper from that June trade alone. This could be a good time to buy the stock since we have a billionaire on the hook for multi-millions in losses looking to shake things up by being on the board. Could be a good buy at these depressed levels. I have added it to my watch list already.

Coke Launches Coke Blak

Hmm this sounds like an interesting drink.

The new drink, a combination of Coca-Cola Classic and coffee extracts, will be first launched in France in January before being rolled out in the United States and other markets during 2006.

I think KO is getting back into being ahead of Pepsi instead of following them. They are probably hoping this Coke Blak (which sounds to me for some reason like the Japanese gum Black Black) will have the success that Vanilla Coke had. I'll check it out for sure when it comes out in 2006.

Christina Applegate to divorce

It looks like the Hollywood breakup story is still in full force.

Looks like Christina Applegate will soon be divorced...without children.

The actress' husband, Johnathon Schaech got the ball rolling by filing for divorce Monday in Los Angeles Superior Court, citing irreconcilable differences.


I think this may be the case of one spouse career going in one direction while the other goes in the toilet. Check out these differences:

After her post-Married television series, Jesse, was canceled in 2000, she proved her comic mettle with starring roles in films including The Sweetest Thing, opposite
Cameron Diaz and Selma Blair and Anchorman, with Will Ferrell.


She also earned the Emmy for Best Guest Actress in a Comedy in 2003 for her turn as
Jennifer Aniston wacky sister on Friends in the episode "The One Where Rachel's Sister Babysits."


Over the past several months, Applegate has shown she's good for more than just a laugh with her leading role in the Broadway musical Sweet Charity, which required her to sing and dance, and even garnered her a Tony nomination for Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical.

That means she starred opposite Cameron Diaz and Will Ferrell. I think Anchorman made a pile of money as well. Plus she got an Emmy and a Tony Nomination. Her career prospects can't get any more brighter. While this is what happened to Schaech:

next slated to appear in the action film Road House 2: Last Call. The project is currently in preproduction, per IMDb.com, and is expected to be released sometime next year.

Yup he is in the sequel to a 16 year old Patrick Swayze movie. If that movie makes more then a few million at the box office then I would be really surprised. It sounds like a direct to DVD mess any way you slice it. He should be happy like Kevin Federline to ride a more successful spouses coattails. Well KFed and Britney may be headed for splitsville as well.

Ballmer Keeps Mouth Shut About AOL deal

I wonder how much this deal is going to be? Ballmer seems tight lipped about it but I wouldn't see past MSFT throwing some of that cash horde at this thing. Here is what Ballmer is saying:

Online advertising is of keen interest to us and I have absolutely nothing to say about the AOL deal or no deal whatever," said Ballmer.

"If you ask, particularly our consumer-facing businesses, what will be the most rapidly growing revenue stream at Microsoft, it's absolutely going to be advertising."

It looks like MSFT is putting Google directly in their sights by challenging their core revenue streams. I mean fancy free programs like Google Earth are one thing but when MSFT comes after you then they better be bunkering up. I mean MSFT has a $40 billion warchest to fight them tooth and nail. I hope Google is up to the task.

NY Stock Exchange to Trade

Well its about time. It has been 213 years since the NYSE has been in business. Too bad they aren't trading on the NASDAQ. It would be nice to see them have the ticker symbol of NYSE. It would be nice and elegant that way. I'm just wondering if the floor specialist will be going the way of the buggy whip though.

Housing Slowdown in 2006

This news seems to be hitting the homebuilders pretty hard. It will be especially hard on the buildings materials and morgage specialist industries as well. Here is what they are forcasting:

The slowdown is likely to last several years, with as many as 500,000 construction jobs and 300,000 financial sector positions lost, the quarterly Anderson Forecast predicted.

• New construction of housing in October was down 5.6 percent from the previous month, with new construction of single-family housing accounting for a 3.7 percent dip.

• New home sales have declined.

• Applications for home mortgages have trended downward since late September as rates increased.

• In some regions, homes are remaining unsold longer and the pace of housing construction is outpacing population growth, which could spell a decline in demand.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Apple really humming along

Well, I was a doubter about APPL in years past but they have reinvented themselves quite well. Now we have an all-time high in the stock with some recent analyst upgrades. Here is what he said:

"We are excited about the prospects for further revenue contribution from iPods due to what we perceive as a positive mix shift to video iPods," Benjamin Reitzes of UBS said.

The analyst boosted his earnings estimates on the company through fiscal 2007 and lifted his target price for the stock to $86, up from $74 previously, reflecting "Apple's ability to grow rapidly with relatively high margins vs. its peers." Reitzes rates the stock a buy.

That seems pretty doable too. Ipods already have the precieved excess value effect associated with them. That is the ability of consumers to pay more for an item due to its luxury, buzz, or coolness factor. A person will pay more for an Ipod then almost any other video or MP3 player. So those companies have to compete on price while AAPL can compete on coolness.
The stock is in uncharted territory here and priced to perfection. But betting against the reinvented AAPL may be a sucker bet judging on how low the short interest is.

Everyone still wants AOL

AOL used to be the drag on TimeWarners stock and now everyone seems to want a piece of it. It looks like MSFT and Google are the last ones putting in bids though. This was an interesting piece of news though:

Google has generated about 11 percent of its revenue in the first half of this year from its current deal to provide search technology to AOL, but this figure overestimates the importance of the deal to the company.

Analysts said the deal only accounts for 4 percent of revenue after Google returns fees to AOL in its revenue-sharing agreement.

So it seems that Google has to give 2/3rds of the money it gets from AOL back to it in the form of fees? No wonder they wanted to get an equity stake in the company. I would hate to make 11% of my revenue from once source and then have to pay them back 7% for the privilege of letting you make that revenue in the first place.

And you can see why MSFT wants to push Google out. They can deal an 11% revenue hit to their main competitor in one shot. They could forge a deal with AOL and immediately get a revenue boost out of nowhere. It should be interesting to watch which horse in this race prevail. I think it will make the loser into the winners sworn enemy.

Monday, December 05, 2005

Movie Review: Rent

Well this past week I got to watch a few movies at the theatre so I'll write some reviews. Rent was pretty good for a musical but I had some thoughts on it. I have never seen the play or really heard much about it so I was going in cold. Also I'm not the biggest fan of musicals.

So at first I had a hard time getting used to the constant singing. They seemed to be sing every single word. It was like "I'm going to the stooore! He's going to the stooore! Their going to the stoooore! The Store!" I saw Chicago before and there seemed to be much less singing in that movie. I did get used to it after a while though.

I may have been expecting something else when I was going in. I thought it was going to be a drama with some singing parts. It was actually an all-singing movie with some dramatic parts thrown it that had people saying lines. The storyline was pretty good. It followed a year in the lives of some New Yorkers. They have various problems with relationships and by the end they figure it out more or less.

One thing that I thought was interesting was how there were some things that may have been viewed as controversial in the late 90s but didn't seem that way anymore. There were two gay couples in the movie one male and the other female. Their relationships seemed perfectly natural and the two females even got married in some sort of civil ceremony at a snooty club. That may have all been some radical stuff in the late 90s but humdrum nowadays.

The reason that I felt the movie wanted to portray these characters as controversial was due to this one scene where the various gay couples take turns kissing at this restaurant. It all went on during this elaborate dance number where people were dancing on tables and jumping around.

The couples kiss and are affectionate in front of a yuppie guy played by Taye Diggs and these two white guys. So in other words they seem to be showing off how outrageous they are in front of these Squares. They are attempting to freak the mundanes. That seemed to play better in the late 90s when what they were doing could be considered outrageous but it has kind of a "been there done that" vibe nowadays.

Also the subject of AIDS was central to the theme of the movie with 4 of the main characters having the disease. For some reason it didn't have the resonance of a movie like "And the Band Played On." I think it was because the characters were taking AZT and even had beepers that told them when to take it. AIDS is incurable affliction but people can live a fairly long life with it nowadays. It would have been interesting to see this movie set during the time before AZT. It would have made the relationships seem more like embers burning bright before the fireplace goes dark. They would have been doomed, Shakespeare tragedy sort of relationships.

In the movie AIDS seemed thrown in as a plot device that could have been swapped out for cancer or something. So when one of the characters dies you go why didn't that guy take his AZT? Collins seems to have a good job. Why didn't he spring for that persons meds? Or they could have approached the yuppie guy for some money. Maybe they explained why that person didn't take AZT in the play version of Rent but they didn't in the movie version.

All in all the movie is worth seeing if you are a fan of the play or if you like musicals. I thought the songs were catchy, the actors sang well, and New York is one dirty hellhole in the Rent version of the late 90s.

Thursday, December 01, 2005

How 50 Cent Can Become a Billionaire: Take Over The CAE

This is the stated aspiration of rapper 50 Cent:

"GQ" says the hip-hop icon is now a "Leading Man." 50 says he`s working on some serious change, though; he wants to be a billionaire within the next six years.

Here is a way that he could become a multi-billionaire in less then that. He could follow the Executive Outcomes model. That means 50 cent needs to start his own mercenary army.

EO was paid $20 million a year during its 1995 to 1997 stint in Sierra Leone, and routed the RUF forces with a force of less than 300 mercenaries, allowing elections to take place.

So with about $60 million and 300 mercenaries EO was pretty much able to take over the government of Sierra Leone. 50 Cent has a net worth of about $60 million so he could probably swing it with some corporate backers. Or he could wait a bit until he has the cash and fund the army on his own dime. He would have to incorporate the company and call it something innocuous like G-Unit Special Projects Corporation or C. Jackson Consulting LLC.

He would then try to take over the Central African Republic. They seem to be a prime target since they have a military expenditure of only $15 million a year, a military junta in charge, and no air force. They have diamonds, uranium, timber, gold, oil, hydropower and they have a GDP of $4.248 billion a year.

He would be a billionaire as soon as he takes over. He would then get Exxon in there to exploit that oil wealth and become a multi-billionaire in the first year. I don't know much about the hip-hop community but taking over a country at the head of a mercenary army should really be worth some street cred. Plus his own nation would produce its own diamonds so he doesn't need to see Jacob the Jeweler for his bling.

Catholic Church to suspend Limbo?

Hmm, this seems like a pretty good change to the Catholic doctrine. They are thinking of getting rid of the idea of Limbo.

The Catholic Church teaches that babies who die before they can be baptized go to limbo, whose name comes from the Latin for "border" or "edge," because they deserve neither heaven nor hell.

That seems like a pretty good change. I think it is kind of unjust to send the unbaptized babies who can't help being unbaptized. I wonder if they can just get rid of the idea of Limbo that quickly. It seems like a retcon in comics. "Well, this doesn't fit modern sensibilities so it gets the axe." Kind of like how Superboy didn't start up the Legion of Superheroes and they instead drew their inspiration from the Teen Titans.